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Pavlos Laguretos
UEFA
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Chelsea vs Benfica
Champions League, Tuesday, 3pm ET
Play: Over 4.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: -120
Line Parameter: Line good to -130
Chelsea are -155 favourites at home, the Drawr is at +310 and Benfica are +435 underdogs on the road, with the Spread set at 0.75 Goals and the Total set at 2.75 Goals. So many interesting tidbits of information regarding this match, starting with the manager situation, as Benfica recently sacked Bruno Lage and brought back THE Special One, Jose Mourinho, who is also up against his former employers in Chelsea. Then there's the match these two played against one another in the knockouts of the Club World Cup back in June, where Angel Di Maria pulled even from the penalty spot at the 5th minute of stoppage time to send that match to extra time, where Chelsea eventually won by 4-1.
Benfica are unbeaten in 3 matches since Mourinho took over, with 2 wins and a draw, and they've actually lost just 1 of 13 matches in all competitions this season (W9 D3 L1), including a won Super Cup Final vs Sporting. A good run of results, but the previous coach took the blame for Benfica's loss to Qarabag in Match Day 1 of the Champions League, in a match where they were already 2-0 up at the 16th minute but fell apart later on. A Benfica side that eliminated Fenerbahce in the last qualifier for the Champions League, a Fenerbahce side that were managed by...Jose Mourinho at the time. Funny thing is that Mourinho got eliminated with Fenerbahce and then joined Benfica...who eliminated Fenerbahce.
As for Chelsea, they did start the season unbeaten in 4 (W2 D2 L0) but have won just 1 of L/5 (W1 D1 L3), lost 3-1 to Brighton over the weekend, 2-1 to Manchester United and also lost 3-1 to Bayern Munich in Match Day 1 of the Champions League, in a match where we EASILY cashed our 4% Best Bet on Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals. Chelsea are not doing well, especially in the defense, keeping just 2 clean sheets in 8 matches so far, and conceding 2+ goals in 4 of L/5. They will have a tough time keeping Benfica at bay, but they should also get their fair share of chances.
As stated before, there were 6 cards in regulation (and 11 in total) when these two met in the Club World Cup back in June, they both have players who like to rough it up, they both lost in Match Day 1 so they will FIGHT for the win in order to not fall behind early in the competition.
Referee is Mr Daniel Siebert from Germany, he has an average of exactly 5 cards/match in 6 matches this season, but he did officiate Benfica's knockout vs Fenerbahce and dished out 9 cards, and he also gave 11 cards in a Europa League Qualifier, with a red card in each match.
Last season he had an average of 5.26 cards/match in all competitions, with some good numbers in the Champions/Europa League matches, and the season before that he had an average of 4.91 cards/match, and with good card totals in the Champions/Europa League.
Take 2% on the Over 4.5 Cards (-120), line good to -135
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7-2 START IN CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2025 (+19u)#1 in Soccer L/30 Days (+43.76u)8-2 run in 5% Releases (+27u)7-2 start in Champions League 2025 (+19u)Pavlos is on an 8-2 run in 5% Max Bets and up now is a 5% TOTAL for Tuesday's Champions League slate. Pavlos had a VERY strong start in Match Day 1 of the Champions League, won both his 4% Best Bets on an 7- ...
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Pavlos Laguretos
UEFA
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Galatasaray vs Liverpool
Champions League, Tuesday, 3pm ET
Play: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -150
Line Parameter: Line good to -165
Galatasaray are +345 underdogs at home, the Draw is at +360 and Liverpool are -145 favourites on the road, with the Spread set at 0.75 or 1 goal depending where you look, and the Total set at 3 Goals. The two teams are coming off opposite results in Match Day 1 where Galatasaray were thrashed 5-1 to Frankfurt and Liverpool scored a late goal to beat Atletico Madrid by 3-2 at home.
That was actually Galatasaray's only loss in the season, having won their other 7 matches and keeping 5 clean sheets in that span. However, the truth is that they haven't really faced any strong opposition so take those results with a grain of salt. We got paid with this match last week, we had 3u on a Same Game Parlay with Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals that landed EASILY in the first half, and we are going the same route on Tuesday. Galatasaray with some undeniable quality up front but with a defense that's worse than what their results suggest. They can absolutely score against a soft Liverpool defense, but we also have to keep in mind that these Turkish teams are capable of the best and the worst. They can go out and beat Liverpool 2-1 but they can also get a red card in the 10th minute and lose 4-0.
Liverpool also got us paid last week as we had them in a 4% Parlay but we did kinda sweat that game as they scored a late winner, but we got paid nonetheless. Liverpool coming off a tough loss to Crystal Palace on Sunday, where they conceded the losing goal at the 8th minute of stoppage time, and they showcased their defensive troubles once again, as they have now kept just 2 clean sheets in 9 matches in all competitions, while conceding multiple goals vs Crystal Palace (twice), Bournemouth, Newcastle and Atletico Madrid. Their offense is good and they've scored in all 9 matches, also scoring 2+ goals in 6 of 9.
Logic and stats dictate that there are going to be goals here, and with the Total at 3.25 I am leaning to the Over, although if there are exactly 3 goals we only lose half our stake. I think Galata can score here, and Liverpool should be able to get in the scoresheet as well.
Take 2% on a Same Game Parlay with Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals which is -150 at Pinnacle, line good to -165
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5% CHAMPIONS LEAGUE MAX BET (8-2 RUN): $39.00
7-2 START IN CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2025 (+19u)#1 in Soccer L/30 Days (+43.76u)8-2 run in 5% Releases (+27u)7-2 start in Champions League 2025 (+19u)Pavlos is on an 8-2 run in 5% Max Bets and up now is a 5% TOTAL for Tuesday's Champions League slate. Pavlos had a VERY strong start in Match Day 1 of the Champions League, won both his 4% Best Bets on an 7- ...
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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On the Padres as the small underdog to beat the Cubs in game #1 of the playoff series. Both teams come in playing good ball and each have impressive offensive metrics recently. Plus, the two clubs possess some of the best bullpens in baseball. The edge comes in the starting pitching matchup pointing to the Friars.
Nick Pivetta has been great in his first year of a $55 million dollar deal. The veteran righty went (13-5) on the season and dealt 6 innings of 1 run ball in his only start against the Cubs lineup this season. Chicago starter Matt Boyd has been all over the place towards the end of the season. The southpaw has over a (5.50 ERA) over his last 9 outings. I think San Diego gets to him here. Wrong team favored- Bet Padres.
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Don Buster
Major League Baseball
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THIS IS A FIRST HALF PLAY ONLY
LISTED STARTERS
PIVETTA/ BOYD
We are going to play SD as we really like what Pivetta has done down the stretch. Nick is having his best year in his career and that continues today in Chicago right from the start. Matthew Boyd goes to the hill for the Cubs and he has struggled down the stretch. Since that calendar turned August he went 3-4. His August ERA was 4.54 and his September ERA 5.31. Boyd has seemed to hit the wall but you cannot blame him. He has thrown 179 2 /3 RD innings this season. Since 2022 he has only thrown 124 innings total, going into this season. We make a small play on the Padres to start fast here as we believe they have a real solid pitching advantage early. So lets get the job done with the SD Padres for the first 5 on the Money line as your free play for today in MLB.
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83% (10-2) L/12 MLB 4% BEST BETS $5
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Join Don Buster for his 4% MLB BEST BET 83%. Buster bounced back from a nasty Sunday and swept his NFL TRIPLE PLAY PACKAGE last night and now has loaded his 4% MLB BEST BET as it is Customer Appreciation Tuesday at WagerTalk. You can get Buster’s 4% MLB BEST BET for ONLY $5. Buster continues his RED HOT 4% MLB RUN and is now HITTING 83% (10-2) wi ...
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Weekend Warrior Football Pass – Includes Any 5%'s - ONLY $49!
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This weekend, get every football play from your handicapper for Saturday and Sunday – including any 5% releases – for only $49. If your handicapper releases ANY college football or NFL during the week for Saturday or Sunday, you will get instant access, avoiding any line moves against you! For example, they load a college football play on Tuesd ...
Jimmy Adams
NFL Football
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The Jets beat themselves badly on Monday Night Football. They fumbled at the Dolphins 1 yard line, fumbled on the kick return coming out of the 2nd half, and had numerous costly penalties. New York also doesn’t have a turnover on defense all season, so this is a bad matchup as they go up against the high flying Dallas offense. The Cowboys put up 40 in a tie against a really good Packers team last week. It was a coming out party for George Pickens, who had several big catches that totaled 134 yards and 2 TD’s. The Jets will surely have no answer for him and are in trouble going up against a Cowboys unit that ranks top 5 in the NFL in points per game. Dallas has shown that they can get beat over the top, but that’s not what New York does. The Jets will have some success running the football, but they won’t be able to keep up in the scoring column and are looking at an 0-5 start. Take the Cowboys.
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$5 CFB SAT RED HOT 87.5% (7-1) RUN! : $5.00
Jimmy’s $5 plays have been ON FIRE! He’s on a 7-1 RUN with his $5 Tuesday plays and has identified ANOTHER MAJOR ADVANTAGE in college football on Saturday! It’s been an EXTREMELY PROFITABLE football season as Jimmy and his clients continue to PUNISH THE BOOKS and RAKE IN THE DOUGH! Don’t miss out on the opportunity to CASH IN BIG once again ...
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Jimmy is picking 75% WINNERS with his 5% TOP PLAYS while making +17.6 UNITS OF PROFIT for his clients since August 16th! He’s been PRINTING MONEY in college football, and has a 5% MAX BET READY TO CASH on Saturday! The CFB slate is stacked, but he’s zeroed in on one play that stands head and shoulders above the rest – his absolute BEST BET o ...
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Kyle Anthony
Mixed Martial Arts
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5% UFC 320: BIG TICKET (75%)
Was $39.00 Now $5.00
75% Win Rate last 2 months on this wager #1 ROI Expert in All Sports 2024 Winner Winner!! The UFC Capping King is fresh off profiting 6 units for clients last Saturday! This weekend for the STACKED UFC 320 card in Las Vegas he's locked in another STRONG 5% Max Bet!! Grab this pack NOW and see what actions already been placed.~ Currently 2 PLAYS ...
Las Vegas Cris
Major League Baseball
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2% SD ML (+101) listed/action
San Diego is a live play in Game 1 at Wrigley with Nick Pivetta on the mound. Pivetta has been dominant in the second half, posting a sub-2.9 ERA since the beginning of July, and he matches up well against a Cubs lineup that has struggled for consistency. Chicago’s bullpen has shown cracks, while San Diego’s relief corps has been far steadier in close games. With the pitching edge on both ends, the Padres are in a strong spot to take the opener in Chicago.
Good to -115
heritage
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EXTREMELY RARE 5% MLB WAGER: $35.00
Our Top 5% MLB Plays are extremely rare, but when released they’ve gone 8–1 (89%) +32.1u since July 2023. LVC has had ONE 5% MLB25' release, & it won. We only step up when the confidence level is extreme & this series matchup has a spot that qualifies.
ADD A MONTH FOR JUST OVER $3 A DAY – 60 DAYS OF ALL ACCESS!
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One-day All-Access passes are $39. A 7-day pass is $99 (just over $14/day). A 30-day All-Access subscription is $299—less than $10/day.With this special offer, you get a second 30 days for only $6.63/day! That’s 60 full days of every sport your favorite handicapper releases, including:College Football & NFLNHL & NBACollege BasketballUFC, Soccer ...
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Carmine Bianco
UEFA
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UEFA CL - Ajax at Olympique Marseille
Game Thoughts: By game time Tuesday this line will likely be higher and still a play at -1.25 to -1.5. Ajax were defeated at home on Match Day 1 by Inter Milan as we cashed with the plus money visitors as a 5% play and now will look to beat them again as they head to France to face a very good in-form Marseille side. Marseille staged a strong comeback on Friday at Strasbourg who themselves are having a solid season. That win came on the heels of a strong 1-0 home win against defending Ligue 1 and Champions League titleholders Paris St. Germain. They were defeated 2-1 at Real Madrid on Match Day 1 but we'll look for them to get the win by margin here on Tuesday.
The play is Olympique Marseille -1.0 -135
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TUESDAY 5% CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PLAY: $35.00
5% CHAMPIONS LEAGUE MATCH DAY 2 PLAY A big week of European football and up now is a 5% CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PLAY. It's Match Day 2 and coming off a winning week on the pitch, Carmine Bianco has a big play loaded for clients. Get this play with analysis now for one great price or grab a 3-DAY SOCCER ALL-ACCESS and get all tournament plays Tuesday thro ...
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Bryan Power
College Football
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Both teams are coming off byes, but Nevada is in much worse shape. The Wolf Pack have not beaten any FBS opponent in almost a year. That losing streak (now 9 in a row) began last year with a 24-21 loss to this week's opponent Fresno State. Oddsmakers are anticipating a much easier win this time for the Bulldogs, who will be at home for the late night kick.
FSU comes in 4-1 SU. The only loss was at Kansas (season opener). Two weeks ago, they went out to the island and beat Hawaii 23-21 thanks to a 4Q pick-six. Again, playing at home, there should be a much easier path to victory here. QB EJ Warner has completed over 75% of his pass attempts the L4 weeks and will be going against a Nevada defense that has given up 31 and 46 points in its two previous road games.
I have Nevada rated VERY low in my power ratings, almost in the bottom 10 in the country. Their one win came by three (17-14) over a FCS opponent and they lost 14-13 (as 9-point home favorites) to a terrible Middle Tennessee team. Their offense is averaging just 15 PPG, so it shouldn't be too difficult for Fresno State (36+ pts in 3 games so far) to win by margin. Nevada has lost 17 of its previous 20 road games.
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4% CFB BEST BET ***$5 TODAY ONLY***
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In case you missed it, Bryan Power has posted a RARE 5% MAX BET for Saturday! But that's NOT the only BIG BET he's already made in College Football this week! You DEFINITELY won't want to miss this 4% release. ***TODAY ONLY, you can get it for JUST $5!*** Going back to November 2023, BP is on an AWESOME 80-59 run in CFB with clients UP a WHOPPING ...
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Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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This a great pitching matchup between two of the best southpaws in the game. Each is coming off an outstanding regular season. Fried was 19-5 with a 2.86 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP and 189 strikeouts. Crochet was even slightly better: 18-5 with a 2.59 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP and an MLB-leading 255 K's. Ten of those strikeouts came against Aaron Judge, he was 2-for-13 against Crochet. (The two hits were both HR's.) Crochet is 3-0 against the Yankees for his career and he's got a 2.11 ERA his past three starts against them. Fried has also enjoyed success against the Red Sox; he's 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA against them for his career. While Fried did defeat the Sox on 9/13, its worth mentioning that he gave up nine hits and issued two walks, in 5 ⅓ innings. Crochet beat the Yankees the next day. The Sox were 18-8 (+12.1) in road divisional games. With Crochet doing his thing, I like their chances of scoring the minor upset on Tuesday.
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5% MAX WILDCARD BEST OF BEST! *78-49!: $35.00
BEN BURNS' 5% MAX PLAYS ARE ON AN AMAZING 78-49 HOT STREAK!Last night, Reigning football champ Ben Burns improved to 8-2 his past 10 on the gridiron. On Tuesday, the renowned postseason expert is throwing an ABSOLUTE HAYMAKER at the ballpark. Off Saturday's winner, Ben's 5% MAX selections are an ABSOLUTELY AWESOME 78-49 (+84.15) the past 127. Don't ...
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Reigning football champion Ben Burns' most recent 5% play (Louisiana) was a winner but it was a little “too close for comfort.” That won't be an issue with Saturday's 5% MAX BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK. It's going to be extremely one-sided from the opening kick. Don't wait. Get down on the MAJOR MISMATCH immediately!
Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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Yamamoto has a good history vs these batters but the Dodger bullpen is just terrible and I expect the Reds to be able to get 3 runs in this one.
| RANKINGS | SP | TEAM | SP BB/K% | BATTING (30) | BULLPEN (30) | SP (30) |
| Hunter Greene | CIN | 23.0% | 19.3 | 9.3 | 6.2 | |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | 27.2% | 7.1 | 20.5 | 3.0 |
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Will Rogers
College Football
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My complimentary selection is on UCLA. Penn State narrowly lost a crucial game against Oregon in double overtime at home. Trailing 17-3 in the fourth quarter, the Nittany Lions rallied back, with quarterback Allar throwing a touchdown to Devonte Ross with 30 seconds remaining, making it 17-16. Coach Franklin opted for the extra point to tie the game at 17-17 instead of attempting a two-point conversion for the win, a choice now questioned by some after the loss in overtime.
Off that gut-wrenching loss, the Lions have to travel across the country and they're being asked to win by nearly four touchdowns. Given the circumstances, that's too much. With UCLA’s history of covering a similar spread as a 28-point underdog last year in Happy Valley, losing by only 16, I'm taking the generous points with the home underdog.
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Drew Martin
College Football
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Getting down on the Fresno State Bulldogs in early CFB week #6 trading. Former FCS national champion head coach Matt Entz is off his first bye week with Fresno.
The team has rattled off 4 straight wins since losing in week 0 to really good Kansas squad. I have Fresno St blowing out Nevada who is (1-3) both straight up and against the spread year to date, with their only win coming against Sacramento State.
10:30pm ET/ 7:30pm PT kickoff Saturday night in the Valley. Nationally televised on CBS Sports Network. For Saturday's free pick we are ending the night laying the wood with Fresno St.
Saturday's CFB Free Pick Recap: 1-0 (+1 unit)
Utah (-12.5) WINNER
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Jimmy Adams
College Football
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The firing of Mike Gundy didn’t help much as Oklahoma State was blown out again, this time giving up 45 points to Baylor. The Cowboys are allowing 7 yards per play with their lone win on the season coming against UT-Martin. Both sides of the ball are abysmal, and that’s a real problem against an Arizona team that’s averaging 6.1 yards per play offensively. The Wildcats were off to a nice 3-0 start before a loss at Iowa State this past weekend. We can’t fault them too much for that and now they take a significant step down in class while returning home to take on Oklahoma State, who just simply doesn’t have much talent. This is a nice “get right” spot for the Wildcats as they win this one big. Take Arizona.
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Kevin Dolan
UEFA
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Bodo/Glimt roared back from a 2-0 deficit late last time out in Europe, securing a 2-2 draw on the road against Slavia Prague.
This time around they host English heavyweights Tottenham, but we expect this to be a tougher than expected trip for the team from London.
Tottenham beat Bodo/Glimt 2-0 in this venue back in May in the semi-final of the Europa League, but needed two second-half goals in order to do so, creating a total of just 0.77 xG in that game.
In terms of overall data in the Europa League last season, Bodo/Glimt owned the second-best xG rating at home, even better than Tottenham's was in London, and their xGD/90 differential outstripped Tottenham's by 1.32 xGD/90 as well based on home/road form splits.
Take the Norwegian side to keep things close on Tuesday.
PLAY: BODO/GLIMT +0.25 (-106)
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