Premier League Predictions - Best EPL Bets for April 18

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Bryan Power
English Premier League
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2% Over Bournemouth/Crystal Palace (10:00 AM ET): What in the world has happened with Crystal Palace?? As recently as a few weeks ago, the Eagles were flying high with a six-match unbeaten run that included progressing to the FA Cup semis. Things were looking good for a top half finish in the Premier League and even European qualification for next season was a possibility. However, back to back away losses have seen Palace now ship 10 straight goals without reply (outscored 10-0 since taking an early 2-0 lead on Man City two weeks ago). “Throw it in the bin” is what manager Oliver Glasner had to say about his side’s 5-0 loss to Newcastle United on Wednesday.
The good news for Palace is they’ll be back home Saturday to take on Bournemouth. Not only has Glasner’s side won four straight at Selhurst Park (across all competitions) but they’ve scored in 12 straight fixtures on their home pitch. Last time here, they defeated Brighton by a score of 2-1. However, we are still talking about a team that’s conceded 5 goals each of their last two matches and will be operating on a short week. The fear here, if you’re a Palace fan, is that Bournemouth are #2 in the Premier League in away goals scored (32), trailing only top of the table Liverpool.
But Bournemouth have also had issues on the back end. Before snapping an eight-match winless run with a 1-0 win over Fulham last week, the Cherries had conceded exactly two goals in five consecutive matches. In other words, we shouldn’t be expecting a repeat of the drab 0-0 draw we saw from these teams in the reverse fixture back on Boxing Day. Both are desperate for a win and that should lead to a wide open match. Crystal Palace did create 2.38 xG vs. Newcastle in what was a misleading final. Bournemouth actually have the EPL’s second highest xG total for the season (65.2 per Understat). 2% Over Bournemouth/Crystal Palace (Play at 2.5)
Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago
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Kevin Dolan
English Premier League
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PLAY: OVER 2.5 (-120)
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