Free NFL Picks This Week, Expert NFL Predictions October 23
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Drew Martin
NFL Football
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Riding with the Raiders plus the points hosting the Rams. Las Vegas has somewhat quietly been one of the better bets in the NFL this year, currently (5-1) against the spread. On the flip side of the spectrum, Los Angeles has been one of the more disappointing squads out the gate and are off the biggest upset losses of the season as almost two touchdown favorites last week. We get an overvalued commodity on the road against an undervalued dividend payer, buy low on the Raiders. For Sunday's free pick- Bet the barking home dog in the desert.
41-14 (75%) All 3%+ picks (+103% PROFIT).
25-12 (68%) for over (+55% PROFIT) overall on the gridiron.
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5% "MAX LIMIT" BEST BET #1 CFB INSANE= (16-3) $$: $35.00
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Teddy Covers
NFL Football
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Take Seattle (#474)
Lets start with the premise that these are two very good teams, which I still believe despite the Seahawks 3-3 start. It’s surely worth noting that Seattle’s three losses have come by a combined eight points - they’re a couple of field goals away from behind 6-0 instead of 3-3. From an urgency standpoint, we’ve got KC fat and happy off a bye and a win — in a divisional sandwich spot with Denver on deck — while Seattle has just lost back-2-back heartbreakers. Lay it or don’t play it! Take the Seahawks.
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5% Big Ticket w' Sunday All Access Pass!: $39.00
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Teddy Covers NBA Super Early Bird
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Teddy Covers has been one of the most consistent NBA handicappers in the business, going 535-448 for +150 units over his last 1,000 plays.He started last season hot and finished it the same way. Teddy opened 8-4 (67%) in October, then closed the year 4-1 (80%) in the NBA Finals.Track RecordLast 1,000 Plays: 535-448 | +150 units | 54.4%NBA Totals Si ...
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Teddy Covers
NFL Football
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Take Pittsburgh - New Orleans First Half UNDER (#451-452)
The ‘Daily Double’ video below features Free Plays with analysis for the early start Paris Game (Steelers vs Saints) and the Bengals - Ravens game. Here’s a brief write-up for New Orleans vs Pittsburgh
The Steelers offense has been consistently getting off to slow starts, with Aaron Rodgers ‘feeling his way’ into games. Last week, at the two minute warning of the first half, Pittsburgh had a grand total of 35 passing yards. New Orleans has done virtually nothing on offense in the first half all year — their three competitive games have all been ‘come from behind’. Expect a slow start in Paris between these two slow starting teams! Take the First Half UNDER.
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5% Big Ticket w' Sunday All Access Pass!: $39.00
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Teddy Covers NBA Super Early Bird
Was $799.00 Now $599.00
Teddy Covers has been one of the most consistent NBA handicappers in the business, going 535-448 for +150 units over his last 1,000 plays.He started last season hot and finished it the same way. Teddy opened 8-4 (67%) in October, then closed the year 4-1 (80%) in the NBA Finals.Track RecordLast 1,000 Plays: 535-448 | +150 units | 54.4%NBA Totals Si ...
Buy 2027, Get the Rest of 2026 FREE. Save $897!
Was $2,696.00 Now $1,799.00
Not only is the rest of 2026 free, we’re also taking $200 off 2027. Get an all-access pass for all of 2027 from your favorite handicapper for just $1,799 (regularly $1,999), and every play from now through Dec 31 is on us. That’s $897 in total savings.Your pass covers the NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL and MLB, plus any soccer, golf, MMA or niche spor ...
Andy Lang
NFL Football
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I really like this matchup for Jaylen Warren against the New Orleans Saints, and the numbers tell a pretty clear story. Warren started the season with a limited snap share, but once Rico Dowdle went out, he took advantage of the increased workload and started putting up some impressive rushing numbers. Now he gets another excellent matchup against one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL.
When Warren started getting the bulk of the work, he absolutely crushed this rushing total against Cincinnati, Cleveland and Indianapolis. What do those three teams have in common? All three rank 17th or worse in the NFL against the run. When Warren gets opportunities against vulnerable rushing defenses, he's been making the most of them.
Last week, Warren was held to just 50 rushing yards against Tampa Bay, but that doesn't concern me nearly as much when you look at the opponent. The Buccaneers have the second-best rushing defense in the NFL. That's a completely different challenge than what Warren faces this week, and the matchup explains a lot about why his production dipped.
Now he gets the New Orleans Saints, who rank third worst in the NFL against the run. That's exactly the type of defense Warren has been exploiting when given opportunities. We've already seen him fly over this number against three other below-average rushing defenses, and New Orleans is even more vulnerable.
The other encouraging sign is that Warren's workload remained solid even with Dowdle back in the lineup. He still received 14 carries last week against that excellent Tampa Bay defense. That tells me he's established a meaningful role in this offense, and we don't need Dowdle to be sidelined for Warren to get opportunities.
At 14 carries, Warren needs about 4.6 yards per attempt to clear this number. Against a Saints defense that has struggled to stop opposing running backs, that's a very reasonable expectation. The matchup is significantly better than last week, and the workload is still there.
We've seen Warren dominate weak rushing defenses, and now he's facing one of the worst in the league. I expect a much better rushing performance this week.
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Buy 2027, Get the Rest of 2026 FREE. Save $897!
Was $2,696.00 Now $1,799.00
Not only is the rest of 2026 free, we’re also taking $200 off 2027. Get an all-access pass for all of 2027 from your favorite handicapper for just $1,799 (regularly $1,999), and every play from now through Dec 31 is on us. That’s $897 in total savings.Your pass covers the NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL and MLB, plus any soccer, golf, MMA or niche spor ...
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Get everything we have for the tournament from start to finish. This pass includes full tournament plays, daily plays, head-to-heads, props, and Andy’s DFS picks — every golf bet we release, all in one package. Lang has been profitable in golf four of the last five years since joining WagerTalk, built on disciplined course breakdowns and match ...
Art DiCesare
NFL Football
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(455) Miami Dolphins at (456) New York Jets: Total
Total Under 39.5 (-110)
Both teams have leaned UNDER. Miami's games have gone UNDER in 3 of 5, while the Jets have gone UNDER in 4 of 6 this season.
A low-scoring game script is plausible. If Miami struggles to score and New York plays from ahead, the Jets may lean on the running game and shorten the game rather than push the pace.
Play: UNDER 39.5
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*** 2-0 ON MY 5% CFB PLAYS THIS SEASON!!! ***: $35.00
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Buy 2027, Get the Rest of 2026 FREE. Save $897!
Was $2,696.00 Now $1,799.00
Not only is the rest of 2026 free, we’re also taking $200 off 2027. Get an all-access pass for all of 2027 from your favorite handicapper for just $1,799 (regularly $1,999), and every play from now through Dec 31 is on us. That’s $897 in total savings.Your pass covers the NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL and MLB, plus any soccer, golf, MMA or niche spor ...
WEEKEND WARRIOR: EVERY FOOTBALL PLAY, SAT & SUN, JUST $49!
Was $78.00 Now $49.00
Two days. Two sports. One pass. Get every Saturday College Football and Sunday NFL play from your handicapper, and every 5% max football release is in there too, no upcharge. Retail runs $78. You're in for $49!Here's the edge most people miss: plays go out the moment they're released. Buy early in the week, and you get every play in real time, at t ...
Kelly In Vegas
NFL Football
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PLAY: Cincinnati +2.5
I gave this out on "bet on it" +3 as an assumption that Lamar Jackson was not going to play. Just a few short hours later, it appears, based on the line move, he will most likely be out. Obviously, keep an eye on the injury news throughout the rest of the weekend.
Lamar Jackson hasn't practiced since spraining his ankle back on Oct. 4 and remains day-to-day. Without him, Baltimore's offense completely stalled out, managing just 235 yards and 10 points (all scored in the 1st quarter) with Tyler Huntley at the helm in Cleveland. Derrick Henry was held to a modest 58 yards on 17 carries last week.
Cincinnati comes out of its bye with Joe Burrow firing on all cylinders (11 TDs, 3 INTs). Burrow threw four touchdown passes at Miami, including one to Ja'Marr Chase in his return from a concussion.
The Bengals have been reliable on the road at 2-1 straight up. Wins at Houston (20-6) and Miami (31-24), while their only road defeat came by three in Pittsburgh, a game in which we were against them. Neither of Cincy's losses this year came by more than five points.
Baltimore is beatable at home 1-1, dropping a 24-17 game to New Orleans.
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Kelly's CFB 6-PACK: $29.00
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Was $2,696.00 Now $1,799.00
Not only is the rest of 2026 free, we’re also taking $200 off 2027. Get an all-access pass for all of 2027 from your favorite handicapper for just $1,799 (regularly $1,999), and every play from now through Dec 31 is on us. That’s $897 in total savings.Your pass covers the NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL and MLB, plus any soccer, golf, MMA or niche spor ...
The Gold Sheet
NFL Football
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The hold-your-nose special of the week. Since the 2021-22 season, Miami has gone 8-2 straight-up, 6-3-1 against the spread in this AFC East matchup. Miami won-and-covered both meetings last season. Five of the last six contests between the Jets and Dolphins have gone over the total. Miami is coming off its bye week after starting the year 0-5 straight-up, 1-4 against the spread. The Dolphins' lone point spread cover this season came at Minnesota as a 9.5-point 'dog where the Vikings took a voluntary knee at the goal line in the closing minute to keep Miami within the lofty spread. The Jets return home after a disappointing effort at New England last week. New York has opened as a 4.5-point home favorite in this contest, and if that point spread holds true through out the week, it will be the most points the Jets have been asked to lay since mid-November 2024. New York went 0-2 straight-up and against the spread as a favorite last season, but did beat Cleveland as a small home favorite two weeks ago. Through Week 6, division underdogs have gone 15-12-1 straight-up, 20-8 against the spread this season. Per betting analyst Evan Abrams, that's the second-best start for division underdogs at the betting window in the Super Bowl era. Miami is returning from its bye week and should be a little healthier. Wide receiver Caleb Douglas is scheduled to return to practice this week after missing the last three games. The Jets are hoping to get some pieces back this week, specifically on offense. Running back Breece Hall, wide receiver Adonai Mitchell, offensive lineman Dylan Parham and edge rusher Joseph Ossai all missed last week's loss to the Patriots. At the end of the day, it's very, very difficult to find anything nice to say about Miami right now other than "They are coming off a bye." But we simply can't trust a team led by Aaron Glenn and Geno Smith to win by 6+ points. Glenn stumbled his way through an interview during last week's game, suggesting that he didn't know which team would be getting the ball after halftime. Over the last five games, Smith has been sacked 19 times. For all of Miami's struggles (and there are plenty), you can now look back at the Dolphins' schedule with a bit more context. This week's game against New York represents a significant drop in class compared to San Francisco, Kansas City, Minnesota and Cincinnati, which Miami played before the bye. Realistically, the Dolphins probably only have 3-4 chances to win a game this season, and this might be the best one. We're expecting to see a solid effort out of Miami on Sunday. Play Miami Dolphins
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CFB **5% MAXIMUM** BEST OF BEST! • 26-11 FOOTBALL RECORD • +108.6 UNIT BIG BET FOOTBALL RECORD!: $35.00
The GoldSheet was 2-0 with Thursday's football including App. State OUTRIGHT over James Madison. The TGS team is 10-2 ATS their last 12 college football pointspread plays, a PERFECT 6-0 their last four 4% and above. All football plays are a SCORCHING 26-11 since the start of October. All football plays rated 4% and up are on a MASSIVE 99-63 (+ ...
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Was $2,696.00 Now $1,799.00
Not only is the rest of 2026 free, we’re also taking $200 off 2027. Get an all-access pass for all of 2027 from your favorite handicapper for just $1,799 (regularly $1,999), and every play from now through Dec 31 is on us. That’s $897 in total savings.Your pass covers the NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL and MLB, plus any soccer, golf, MMA or niche spor ...
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Including last Sunday's 5% WINNER, The GoldSheet is 24-10 (+35.13 units, 70.6% Winning Percentage, 28.8% ROI) with their last 34 football plays, entering Wednesday. Going back further finds the TGS team on a GIGANTIC 98-63 (+104.55) RUN with all football plays rated 4% and above. They will add to those impressive stats with their favorite play ...
Jesse Schule
NFL Football
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This is a FREE play on K9 ATTD.
The Kenneth Walker revenge game? The reigning Super Bowl MVP returns to Seattle, and he leads the NFL in rushing. He's averaging a career high 6.3 yards per carry. I don't love betting TD scorers in games with low totals, but given the affordable price and the motivational angle, I think there is some value with a guy who accounts for the majority of his teams offense.
GL,
Jesse Schule
Released/revised 3 day(s) ago
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Buy 2027, Get the Rest of 2026 FREE. Save $897!
Was $2,696.00 Now $1,799.00
Not only is the rest of 2026 free, we’re also taking $200 off 2027. Get an all-access pass for all of 2027 from your favorite handicapper for just $1,799 (regularly $1,999), and every play from now through Dec 31 is on us. That’s $897 in total savings.Your pass covers the NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL and MLB, plus any soccer, golf, MMA or niche spor ...
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Against the Spread betting on NFL games is another football bet type that has gained in popularity. One explanation for this is it can help take the emotion out of betting on NFL games. Instead of blindly following your heart and betting pure moneyline on your underdog team at long odds, you can take a more pragmatic approach. You can bet on your team to cover the spread (which might be more likely and at more reasonable odds) and then even if your NFL team drops a game, you can still come out ahead, despite the epic bummerhood of your team losing. At least you won your NFL ATS bet! Best NFL bets often include ATS picks.
You will undoubtedly see free NFL ATS picks out there, but you likely have found that they tend to focus only on the BIG games each week. WagerTalk looks to give you ATS NFL predictions on not only these games but also on games that are flying under the radar a bit. Free NFL picks for ATS bets are wildly popular and WagerTalk has 'em.
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WagerTalk is going all out in 2026 yard, receiving yards totals, rushing yards, and even anytime TD scorer props offered from a variety of NFL handicappers. NFL best bets often are props - players can outperform their teams!
NFL Best Bets - Totals. Free Over/Under Expert NFL Picks
Undoubtedly the favorite pick of bettors when they have no team preference, over/under picks set you up for a damned good time. Over/Under picks are simple - you just place your bet on the total score either being over or under a certain number that sportsbooks provide you with. You can choose alternate over/unders from the main line, which can give you longer odds, but also more lucrative wins. But which are of course more risky than the featured over/under line!
For whatever reason, setting a stick in the sand on a point total and betting above or below that number provides incredibly exciting NFL betting.
Obviously for more fun, you can always just bet on the over on NFL games, sit back and just cheer for points, points, points.
However, WagerTalk gets a but more sophisticated than that! WagerTalk picks multiple over/under bets each week and as the NFL handicappers are experts, you will see plenty of Under picks! Certainly, if the Steelers are playing
Grab your NFL over/under picks each and every day throughout the 2025-26 season!
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If you placed a $100 NFL moneyline pick on your heavy underdog team at odds of +550, you would win $550, for a total payout of $650. If you placed a moneyline bet on a moneyline pick that is a favorite, you may see odds of -125 or so, which would mean your $100 bet wins you $80, for a total payout of $180. Not bad for just picking the favorite to win!
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WagerTalk experts pick and choose carefully among available NFL prop bets, grabbing you NFL picks from their research. You can find some truly obscure, but winnable prop bet picks each week, from number of yards rushing a 2nd string running back might pull off to the over/under on the number of tackles that a linebacker might register that week.
WagerTalks leading NFL tipsters have posted extremely impressive records with their free prop bets, check out Gianni the Greek or Teddy Covers for good starting points!
NFL Picks This Week
WagerTalk's latest NFL picks are available on this page each and every day! You will find NFL expert picks against the spread and of course NFL predictions, picks, and team analysis throughout the year.
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| Type of NFL Pick | Does WagerTalk Offer This Type of NFL Pick? |
| Moneyline | Yes |
| Over/Under | Yes |
| ATS/Spread | Yes |
| Team Props | Yes |
| Player Props | Yes |
| Futures Betting Picks | Yes |
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