Georgia State vs North Carolina Prediction and Odds | NCAAF Week 2

Georgia State vs North Carolina Betting Preview

North Carolina was a 26-point favorite when these two teams met in Chapel Hill last season. The Tar Heels led by 14 at halftime before scoring five touchdowns in the second half to pull away for a 59-17 victory. Twelve months later, UNC is just over a one-touchdown favorite in Atlanta. Has the point spread gone too far in this battle between the ACC and Sun Belt?

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Saturday, September 10	College Football Week 2 Betting Notes
Point Spread:	North Carolina Tar Heels -7.5 at Georgia State Panthers
Total:	o/u 64.5 Points
Location:	Center Parc Credit Union Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia
Game Time:	12:00pm ET / 9:00am PT (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
TV:	ESPNU

Ready to Pounce

Georgia State has never beaten an ACC team, but the Tar Heels need to be wary of Panther defender Quavian White. The two-time All-Conference defender intercepted new South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler twice last week. Georgia State’s rushing defense held the Gamecocks to just 2.5 yards per carry.

Georgia State out-gained South Carolina and had a better yards-per-play mark than the Gamecocks, but special teams played the deciding factor in last week’s contest.

Tar on their Heels

North Carolina’s defense has lived up to its school nickname lately, as defenders have been slow to make stops in the Tar Heels’ first two games. UNC allowed over eight yards per carry on the ground, and 40 points in the fourth quarter to Appalachian State last week. The Mountaineers earned 361 yards through the air and six different receivers caught six touchdown passes. This comes a week after North Carolina allowed FCS-level Florida A&M to score 24 points on 5.1 yards per play.

Carolina’s offense has been able to make up for the defense’s miscues as QB Drake Maye showed that he’s capable to stepping into Sam Howell’s shoes admirably. Last week against App State, Maye threw for over 350 yards and 4 TDs, while adding another on the ground. He did that without the Tar Heels’ top receiving option in Josh Downs.

Georgia State vs North Carolina Prediction

Like we said in the open: When these two teams met last season, North Carolina was a 26-point favorite at home, and that’s after the Tar Heels lost their opening game to Virginia Tech. Georgia State is likely better than it was last year (and the Panthers weren’t bad in 2021, winning eight games and romping in the Camellia Bowl). Obviously you have to flip some points for home field advantage. But this is almost a 20-point adjustment from last year’s spread when these two teams met.

If you are a “watch the games” handicapper, North Carolina certainly hasn’t passed the eye test. But if you use power ratings and market numbers, we can’t get to this number. Our ratings have this game closer to 13, giving us a look toward the North Carolina side.

Happy Hour CFB Kickoff Show

Iowa has held the Cy-Hawk Trophy since 2015. Can Iowa State finally break through this season and bring it back to Ames? Join Dave Cokin, Ralph Michaels and Tony Mejia for the Happy Hour CFB Kickoff Show as we preview the College Football Week 2 slate from a variety of betting angles.

College Football Odds Board

WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the college football point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of the NCAAF Week 2 games, including this Georgia State vs North Carolina showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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Meet the Author

Founded in 1957, GoldSheet is the country’s longest-running sports betting newsletter. Each week, the GoldSheet team delivers analysis on NFL and college football games, along with NBA and college basketball matchups. For over 60 years, GoldSheet readers have received Key Releases, as well as access to proprietary power rankings on all teams. GoldSheet maintains in-depth point spread and results logs, giving sports bettors and enthusiasts the insight needed to maximize their wagers.

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