Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 9/26/22

Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For September 26

WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Monday, September 26 with odds provided by PointsBet. With only four games on the slate tonight, it’s slim pickings for home run prop picks, but we have you covered!

Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Austin Riley (+240)

Austin Riley and the Braves are still gunning for the NL East title as we head into the last week or so of the ML regular season. Riley has an outside chance of getting to 40 home runs but he needs to do some damage in this upcoming series against the Nationals.

He’s hit eight home runs against Washington this season which is the most of any team he’s faced while hitting .292 against them as well. Nationals Park is also the field he has the most road home runs in this season as well with four.

The Nationals are sending Cory Abbott to the mound tonight who seems to be an opener of sorts and also the pitcher who Riley last hit a home run off of a week ago.

During that start Abbott went four innings allowing four earned runs including that home run. Riley is +240 to hit a home run while other Braves hitters to consider are Dansby Swanson +300 and William Contreras +290.

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Rafael Devers (+280)

Jordan Lyles is the definition of an average starting pitcher in the MLB this season sitting at 11-11 with a 4.50 ERA. When he goes on the road though those numbers get worse, especially against the Red Sox.

His road ERA stands at 5.48 with 18 home runs give up in 87 innings pitched. Against the Red Sox specifically his ERA stands at 8.00 with 16 earned runs given up in 18 innings pitched. Rafael Devers is 5-15 against Lyles on the season with one home run.

Devers hits .313 at home with 11 home runs on the road and posts that exact same average against Baltimore this season as well to go along with two home runs. Boston doesn’t have anything to play for with only 10 games left in their season but Devers has a shot to get to 30 home runs on the season.

Get Devers at +280 to hit a home run with another Red Sox hitter to consider is Tommy Pham at +425 who is 5-13 against Lyles with a home run in his career.

Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Monday, September 26

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate.

Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo

Read up on betting previews on daily MLB games from handicappers here at WagerTalk and over at Sportsmemo. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. See our previews for today’s games now!

WagerTalk MLB Game Previews

Sportsmemo MLB Game Previews

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Monday’s baseball games.

**************************************************

Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?

• Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
• Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
• Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.

Make sure to bookmark all the above!