Ben Burns College Football and NFL Betting Notes
College Football and NFL Betting Preview
WagerTalk handicapper Ben Burns offers analysis on games that just missed his weekend football card. Ben provides a reason or two why he was drawn in a particular direction, and why ultimately he decided to pass.
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College Football Week 7 Betting Leans
Oklahoma -9 vs Kansas – After last week’s beating, I had hoped to get the Sooners at -7. After all, they’ve lost three straight and they’re facing a ranked team.
Wishful thinking, I guess. There were initially a few -7’s and -7.5’s but they didn’t last long. I am still expecting a double-digit win and haven’t written off the possibility of a play.
Seven was the number which would have really had me interested though. I also want to make sure I’m clear on the QB situation for both teams.
Hawaii +6.5 vs Nevada I once attended a Hawaii Bowl in which Nevada participated. I successfully backed the Wolfpack that day. That was more than 10 years ago though.
Time flies! I don’t think this year’s team deserves to be laying (nearly) a touchdown on the road against anyone. Even a bad team like Hawaii.
Ultimately, I decided that I couldn’t trust how the Warriors would respond to a heartbreaking loss at SDSU. That was a game where they left it all on the field but came up just short of a monumental upset.
NFL Week 6 Betting Leans
Indianapolis -2 vs Jacksonville I had a big play on the Jaguars in the first meeting. Even when I was watching that game, I was already thinking how much the revenge-minded Colts were going to want the rematch.
On the surface, getting them at home, laying less a field goal, seems like a gift. The Colts’ offensive line issues will likely keep me off though.
Bernhard Raimann will start again. He’s the rookie that kept getting beat and/or flagged in the first half of the Denver game. Recall that the Jags sacked Ryan five times in the first meeting.
Atlanta +5.5 vs San Francisco When the schedule came out, I had thought this might be a difficult spot for the 49ers. They’re playing their second straight on the road and they’ve got the Chiefs, followed by the Rams, on deck.
However, the Falcons may still be thinking about last week’s loss against Brady and I’m not thrilled about injuries to Patterson and the questionable status of Pitts, London and others. No play.
Baltimore -5.5 at New York Giants I don’t think the Giants are probably as good as their record indicates. Catching them off an upset win in Europe would seem like a good spot to play against.
I did notice that both teams which played at Tottenham the previous week returned home to win their games. More importantly, I had hoped for a lower line.
The Ravens have seen three of their past four (and five of seven in 2022) games decided by four or less. A line of -3, or even -4, would have potentially perked up my ears.
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