FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid Prediction and Betting Odds | UEFA Champions League Nov 1
FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid Betting Preview
WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League match between FC Porto and Atletico Madrid kicking off at 1:45pm ET. Porto has nine points in Group B with Atletico Madrid only netting five points so far heading into the final match day of the group stage.
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FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds
Tuesday, November 1 | German Bundesliga Betting Notes |
---|---|
FC Porto: | +143 |
Atletico Madrid: | +192 |
Draw: | +237 |
Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
Game Time: | 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT |
FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid Betting Analysis
Atletico may well still be smarting over their late penalty miss last week to send them out of this year’s Champions League competition, but they can’t afford to let their despair play too much of a factor here as another loss might well see them exit their unsteady Europa League position as well.
Just one point separates Atletico Madrid from Bayer Leverkusen for third spot in the table while a win for FC Porto in this game, and anything other than a win for Club Brugges in the other fixture, would see the Portuguese side finish top.
Atletico Madrid have dominated recent meetings against FC Porto, winning four of their last five outright with one draw as well, including two wins in their last two meetings in Portugal also.
Diego Simeone Edges Closer To Exit
Not only did that result against Bayer Leverkusen last week doom Atletico’s chances of progression in this competition, plus cut them off from a massive stream of revenue also, Atletico slipped to yet another poor defeat at the weekend against relegation-battling Cadiz as well.
That puts monumental pressure on Diego Simeone’s position at the club ahead of this clash, with calls for him to step down by fans and supporters alike becoming evermore louder. However, the Argentinian manager remains defiant and insists he’ll see out his contract until 2024 and guide Atletico through the choppy waters they’re currently experiencing.
A win here on Tuesday however will be absolutely paramount to those plans if he is to survive in his current position.
Revenge On Spanish Rivals Has Spurred on Porto
A final group stage matchday showdown against Atletico Madrid is something Porto are all too familiar with after getting dumped out by their Spanish rivals in last year’s competition.
Porto sat one point ahead of Atletico heading into the final matchday at the Estadio do Drago, however, it mattered little as the Spanish giants claimed victory, with Atletico scoring three goals in what was a crazy finish to the game (three goals scored overall in injury time alone), to dump the Portuguese side out of the competition in front of their own fans.
While we’ll likely miss that same drama this year, with Porto’s players seen actively celebrating after Yannick Carrasco’s penalty miss last week for Atletico, there’s definitely still no love lost between these two historic rivals on the European stage.
FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Despite their premature exit from this year’s competition, we nevertheless like Atletico to rebound in this spot and get the win and cover on Tuesday night against FC Porto over in Portugal.
Porto have been riding their luck over this group stage so far with Atletico enjoying over a full goal xGD/90 rating over Porto in the group stage so far, yet failing to have that statistical dominance show up in actual results.
Atletico have also posted the far stronger offensive xG and defensive xGA numbers over this campaign as well, with Porto being especially poor at home this season, getting smashed 4-0 by Club Brugges inside the Estadio do Drago earlier in the campaign and getting very fortunate with a win against Bayer Leverkusen also, a game they heavily lost the xG battle in.
Take Atletico Madrid at PK on Tuesday to win and cover on the road against FC Porto over in the Champions League.
Prediction: Atletico Madrid Moneyline +192
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Stoppage Time | Premier League Betting Tips
After spending three years on Brighton’s sideline, Graham Potter will lead Chelsea onto the pitch against his former club this weekend. Who holds the advantage in this unique matchup? Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we preview this weekend’s marquee matchups in the Premier League.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.
Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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