Argentina vs Poland Betting Prediction and Odds | World Cup Group C
Argentina vs Poland Betting Preview
All four teams in Group C are still alive to advance to the knockout round (or get eliminated) entering Match Day 3. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman shares his thoughts on Argentina vs Poland, with plenty at stake in Wednesday’s showdown.
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Argentina vs Poland Betting Odds
| Wednesday, November 30 | World Cup Group C Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Argentina: | -215 |
| Poland: | +700 |
| Draw: | +320 |
| Total: | 2.25 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 2:00pm ET / 11:00am PT |
Argentina vs Poland Betting Analysis
Prior to the start of the tournament, not many people pegged this as a do-or-die match for Argentina. While it is possible they could lose this match and still qualify, it’s very unlikely and the only way to guarantee anything is to secure the three points against Poland.
Let’s be honest, if you were high on Argentina before the tournament began, your outlook on them shouldn’t change after their once-in-a-generation loss to Saudi Arabia. Argentina dominated the match, as expected, with nearly 70-percent possession while limiting Saudi Arabia to just three shots which they scored two goals on. Argentina generated 2.26 expected goals in that contest, compared to Saudi Arabia’s 0.15 tally.
Argentina rebounded in Match Day 2 against a much tougher Mexico side, although admittedly, it wasn’t easy, and that result could have easily ended in a draw. Argentina only generated five shots in that game, and Mexico laid the blueprint for how Poland should play them in this contest. Mexico allowed Argentina to have possession but pressed them in their own side of the field and it was difficult for Argentina to find space and move the ball out of their defensive half.
Unimpressive in Victory
Poland defeated Saudi Arabia 2-0 in Match Day 2, but that’s a pretty flattering scoreline for the Poles. Saudi Arabia generated a whopping 16 shots (remember, Argentina only allowed three in the prior match) and 64-percent possession to Saudi Arabia. That doesn’t give me much confidence that Poland will be able to contain Messi and Argentina.
Argentina vs Poland Prediction
I like Argentina to win this match, but I’m not sure that the South Americans will be able to create much margin. Poland can still advance to the next round, even in defeat, as long as they keep their goal differential at a respectable level.
Poland will look to take the air out of the ball as much as possible, and I don’t see Argentina allowing many chances to Poland. So the combo play of Argentina and under 3.5 goals (-120) looks like a great option. If you are feeling extra frisky, look at Argentina and under 2.5 goals (+200) as a fun prop bet.
For more World Cup picks, visit WagerTalk’s free picks page.
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Stoppage Time | 2022 World Cup Betting Preview
Belgium enters Match Day 3 sitting in third place in Group F behind Croatia and Morocco. Can the Red Devils avoid early elimination and advance to the knockout round? Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we preview the marquee midweek matchups from a variety of handicapping angles.
2022 World Cup Group Predictions
About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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