Michael Conlan vs Karim Guerfi Prediction and Odds | Boxing Dec 10
Michael Conlan vs Karim Guerfi Betting Preview
Irish Olympian Michael Conlan takes on tough French fighter Karim Guerfi over in Belfast, Northern Ireland on ESPN+ this weekend on a card absolutely loaded with entertaining fights. WagerTalk boxing handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on this intriguing matchup.
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Michael Conlan vs Karim Guerfi Betting Odds
| Saturday, December 10 | Boxing Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Michael Conlan: | -2500 |
| Karim Guerfi: | +950 |
| Total: | 7.5 Rounds (Over -120 / Under -105) |
| Venue: | SSE Arena in Belfast, Northern Ireland (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Time: | Estimated Fight Time is 6pm ET / 3pm PT |
Michael Conlan vs Karim Guerfi Analysis
Conlan is still on the comeback trail after getting stopped by Leigh Wood earlier this year in what was a potential Fight of the Year barnburner. The Belfast crowd will no doubt be in full voice for their favorite son ahead of this one, but with Conlan sitting as a -2500 favorite, where exactly does the betting value lie?
Conlan Looks To Dust Off Cobwebs Ahead Of A Big 2023
After a big build-up over the early part of his career which saw UFC star Conor McGregor lead him out in his debut at Madison Square Garden, it’s fair to say Michael Conlan’s career progression hasn’t exactly gone to plan as he returns home once again after his crushing world title loss against Leigh Wood in March.
Conlan floored Wood early in that contest and was up for the majority of the fight, but a combination of exhaustion and Leigh’s relentless attack was finally enough to overcome the Irishman as he was knocked out cold midway through the 12th round.
Late 2022 has seen a rebuilding phase for Conlan, looking excellent against a seasoned Miguel Marriaga back in August and he will look to stay that way as he looks ahead to a potentially huge 2023.
Guerfi Has His Own Fight of the Year Nominee
While Conlan and Wood stood out as one of the best fights over the last 12 months in boxing, Karim Guerfi had his own Fight of the Year candidate late last year with a nine-round brawl against Britain’s Jordan Gill. Guerfi hurt and dropped Gill in that fight before the Englishman roared back with a brutal knockout in round nine.
That’s been an issue for Guerfi across his career as a whole with four of his six losses coming via stoppage against opponents.
Michael Conlan vs Karim Guerfi Prediction
Karim Guerfi is a seasoned campaigner no question, but in front of a raucous Belfast home crowd and a fighter in Conlan who is the sharpest boxer he’s ever been in with, you’d have to favor Conlan to get the stoppage this weekend.
Scotland’s Lee McGregor absolutely starched Karim Guerfi inside a round with multiple knockdowns early last year, and while Conlan doesn’t quite carry McGregor’s power in fights, he’s the much more clinical boxer of the two and showed against both Wood and Marriaga that he carries enough pop to hurt opponents.
We’re taking the Michael Conlan to win by KO/TKO prop at -165 on Saturday to get to the window as the Irishman closes out the year in style with a stoppage win to set up a big 2023.
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Terence Crawford vs David Avanesyan Betting Preview
Terence Crawford 38-0 (29 KOs) looks to defend his WBO welterweight championship title on Saturday against David Avanesyan 29-3-1 (17 KOs). Crawford has been off since November 2021, but he has won eight of his last nine fights by knockout. Avanesyan is riding a six-fight win streak into this championship bout. WagerTalk boxing handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on the matchup.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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