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Fiorentina vs Spezia Expert Prediction and Picks | Serie A Betting April 8

La Liga odds May 24-26

Fiorentina vs Spezia Betting Preview

Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman gives his prediction and picks for this Fiorentina vs Spezia Serie A match before start time at 8:30am ET Saturday, coming from Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence, Italy. Spezia sits 17th in the Serie A standings but look to be safe from relegation with Fiorentina surging up the standings now sitting 9th after five straight Serie A wins.

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Fiorentina vs Spezia Betting Odds

Saturday, April 8 Serie A Betting Notes
Spezia: +680
Fiorentina: -240
Draw: +370
Total: 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time: 8:30am ET / 7:30am PT

Fiorentina vs Spezia Betting Analysis

Fiorentina is the hottest team in Serie A and may be the hottest team in Europe right now. They have played ten straight games unbeaten in all competitions with nine wins and a draw.

Four matches came in the Europa Conference League in which Braga from Portugal is a very solid opponent. Sivasspor out of Turkey maybe not as much. But still, their run has been impressive.

Fiorentina On Fire

During that ten-match run they have allowed more than one goal just one time which came against Braga, but they also held AC Milan to one goal and beat them 2-1 while they are coming off a 1-0 win over the other Milan team, Inter, this past weekend. They kept six clean sheets in those ten matches.

Fiorentina vs Spezia advanced data

Will Spezia Score?

Fiorentina is not an offensive juggernaut and does not push the issue once they get the lead, especially if they get a two-goal lead.

They did score three goals or more four times during this run, but three of those game in the Europa Conference matches while they did it just once in six Serie A matches, a 3-0 win over Verona.

For this match to go over the total, I feel like Fiorentina will have to do all the scoring as their defense has been so good, I’m not sure we will see Spezia get on the board here.

Fiorentina vs Spezia Expert Prediction

The visitors have been blanked in six of their last ten matches and are generating just 1.03 xG per 90 minutes and slightly less than that on the road at 0.95.

Their volume numbers are not good as they average just 2.7 shots on target away from home which ranks 18th in Serie A.

Spezia has created less than 1.0 xG in nine of 13 away matches this season. I’m fully expecting Fiorentina to do the same here and limit Spezia to very few chances on Saturday.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals +100

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

Soccer Betting Guide - How to Bet On Soccer for Beginners

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About The Author

Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.

Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.

Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.

Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.

Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.

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