Phillies vs Red Sox Predictions, Picks and Betting Advice May 5-7
Phillies vs Red Sox Series Betting Preview
WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his Phillies vs Red Sox series predictions and betting advice set to start on May 5 for a three game series. Andy runs through notable pitchers on both sides in each game, batter splits against starting pitchers, betting advice and more! Read his Phillies vs Red Sox betting preview below!
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Phillies vs Red Sox May 5 Betting Preview
Zack Wheeler 3-1 3.86 ERA 1.22 WHIP vs Chris Sale 2-2 6.75 ERA 1.46 WHIP
•Current Phillies bat .163 in 44 plate appearances against Sale with no home runs. 40 of those plate appearances are by Nick Castellanos alone.
•Current Red Sox bat .290 against Musgrove in 34 plate appearances with one home run.
•Nick Castellanos 6-39 18 Ks
•Josh Harrison 1-4
•Justin Turner 4-8 HR
•Rafael Devers 0-3
•Enrique Hernandez 3-12
Sale has not faced Philadelphia in the last five seasons. The Phillies are currently hitting .250 (15th) vs left-handed pitching with a .297 on-base percentage (26th) and a 89 wRC+ (22nd).
In his last appearance against Boston (2021) Wheeler threw 7.1 innings while allowing one run on three hits while striking out 12. The Red Sox are hitting .274 (1st) against right-handed pitching with a .341 on-base percentage (4th) and a 120 wRC+ (5th).
Phillies vs Red Sox May 6 Betting Preview
Bailey Falter 0-5 5.01 ERA 1.33 WHIP vs Corey Kluber 1-4 6.44 ERA 1.40 WHIP
•Current Phillies bat .329 against Kluber in 77 plate appearances with one home run.
•Current Red Sox bat .250 against Falter in 4 plate appearances with no home runs.
-Nick Castellanos 13-48 18 Ks
•Kyle Schwarber 4-10 2-2Bs
•Trea Turner 1-3
•Rafael Devers 0-1
•Justin Turner 0-1
-Christian Arroyo 0-1
Kluber has not faced Philadelphia in the past five seasons. The Phillies are hitting .274 (2nd) against right-handed pitching with a .335 on-base percentage (8th) and 109 wRC+ (6th).
Falter tossed two scoreless innings in a relief appearance against Boston in 2021. The Red Sox are hitting .259 (14th) against left-handed pitching with a .344 on-base percentage (9th) and 111 wRC+ (10th).
Phillies vs Red Sox May 7 Betting Preview
Taijuan Walker 2-2 6.91 ERA 1.60 WHIP vs Tanner Houck 3-1 5.34 ERA 1.38 WHIP
•Current Phillies are 2-3 against Houck with no home runs.
•Current Red Sox bat .216 against Walker in 39 plate appearances with one home run.
•Josh Harrison 1-1
•Brandon Marsh 1-2
•Justin Turner 5-17 HR
•Rafael Devers 1-5
•Alex Verdugo 1-4
Houck has yet to face Philadelphia in his short career. Phillies vs RHP listed above.
In his last appearance against Boston (2021) Walker allowed six runs on six hits across only two innings pitched including two home runs. Red Sox vs RHP listed above.
Phillies vs Red Sox Expert Betting Advice
This will be the first and last head-to-head series between these clubs as this is an interleague series. The last head-to-head series was in May of 2021 and the Red Sox won two of three games at Citizens Bank Ballpark.
We should see plenty of fireworks in this series as five of the six starting pitchers have an ERA north of 5.00 and three of them are north of 6.00.
The other thing that stands out is we have the #1 & #2 hitting teams vs right-handed pitching in the majors. Game 3 is the game that features two right-handed pitchers and they are both walking too many batters and allowing too many home runs.
Walker has walked 17 batters and allowed 7 homeruns in only 28.2 innings of work while Houck has walked 13 batters and allowed 4 home runs across 32 innings.
On top of that, the Phillies pen one of the league’s worst, ranking 27th in ERA. Look for the full game over or Red Sox team total over in that game as the Sox will be guaranteed a full nine innings of at bats on the road.
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