Best Home Run Prop Bets | Thursday, April 4th

The 2024 MLB season has commenced, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? We expect there to be home runs to start off the season. Let’s take a look at our best bets for players to go yard and start the season on a high note. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday.

The GoldSheet team has just introduced a new product called GoldSheet Lite to help you handicap the NBA, NCAAB and MLB slate each day. GoldSheet Lite is priced between $5-10 each day and features stats, analysis and recommended wagers to help you enjoy a full day of wagering. Use promo code GSLITE50 to take 50-percent off your first GoldSheet Lite issue.

We hit Mookie Betts to hit a home run on Tuesday, and we followed that up with Yordan Alvarez going yard last night. Let’s stay hot! Here are our best home run prop bets for Thursday’s MLB slate.

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

Josh Bell (MIA) +675

Nothing is going right for the Marlins to start the season. The Fish are winless, but they have a shot to change that tonight against Lance Lynn and the Cardinals. Josh Bell, one of Miami’s trade acquisitions from last season, is one of the best home run prop bets to make tonight.

Bell is home run-less this season and is only batting .231, but this is the best matchup he’s had to hit one out all season long. Four of his six hits this season have come batting lefty against righties, and this afternoon, he faces a righty who gives up a ton of long balls to lefties.

Lance Lynn, St. Louis’ starter, allowed a league-leading 24 home runs to left-handed batters last season. Fourteen of those home runs to lefties came off of his four-seem fastball. Last season, Josh Bell slugged .559 off of four-seemers with a 51.5% hard-hit rate. Bell hit 14 home runs off righties last season.

Considering Bell’s ability to jump on fastballs and Lance Lynn’s inability to keep left-handed batters in the yard, Josh Bell makes for one of the best home run prop bets on the board tonight.

Lane Thomas (WAS) +575

Lane Thomas has yet to hit a home run this season, but he has a great matchup to do so, making him one of the best home run prop bets tonight. Thomas is much better against left-handed pitching, and today, he faces a lefty who gives up a lot of home runs to righties.

Martin Perez is starting for the Pirates today in Washington. Last season, Perez allowed 17 home runs to right-handed batters. He allowed most of his home runs on his cutter and his sinker last season.

Thomas hit nine home runs off of lefties last season in 178 at-bats, and his ISO and wRC+ were both higher against left-handed pitching. This season, Thomas has two hits, and one of them came off a lefty.

Thomas’ ability to hit lefties and Perez’s propensity to allow home runs to righties makes Thomas one of the best home run prop bets to make today.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track moneylines, runlines, totals and betting percentages for a variety of domestic and international leagues. Find free MLB picks and odds!

**************************************************

Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips? Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!

• Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on and anytime touchdown scorer odds.
• Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
• Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.

Make sure to bookmark all the above!