Best Home Run Prop Bets | Thursday, May 2nd
The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we are continuing to pick winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Wednesday.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
It’s time to start a fresh new week of hitting some bets. We have been on a heater with home run props, and we added two winners this past week. We are looking to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?
Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Jose Altuve (HOU) +475
Jose Altuve has been hitting very well to start the season, and tonight, he faces a pitcher who has struggled against right-handed bats so far this season. Altuve has seen Logan Allen three times, and he is 1-3 with a double. Altuve has hit seven home runs so far this season, and six have come against righties, making this a great home run prop bets to wager on.
Logan Allen has allowed five home runs to righties so far this season. Against right-handed batters, Allen has a 5.14 FIP and a 4.35 xFIP. He allows a ton of medium contact and a solid rate of hard contact when facing righties, and he has a high 15.6% home run to fly ball rate. Allen has been better on the road this year, but Houston plays in a hitter’s park, so we expect those numbers to regress closer to his numbers at home.
Tyler O’Neil (BOS) +390
Tyler O’Neil has nine home runs so far this season, and he faces Kyle Harrison, who has been tagged for five home runs already this season. O’Neil has just two of his nine home runs against left-handed arms, but he still has a .318 ISO, a 206 wRC+, and a .636 SLG, making him one of the best home run props to bet on today.
As we mentioned, Kyle Harrison has already allowed five home runs this season, which puts him near the top of the MLB’s list. Four of those five home runs were to right-handed batters, and Harrison has a higher FIP, xFIP, HR/9, hard-hit rate, and WHIP against righties.
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