Best Home Run Prop Bets | Friday, May 3rd

The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we are continuing to pick winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Friday.

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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers

It’s time to start a fresh new week of hitting some bets. We have been on a heater with home run props, and we added two winners this past week. We are looking to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?

Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

ONeil Cruz (PIT) +540

ONeil Cruz has not been consistent to start this season, but he has a great matchup to hit a home run today. Cruz’s biggest issue is that he swings and misses too often. Cruz has a very high strikeout rate and a low contact rate, but when he does make contact, he hits the ball very hard. Today, he faces Cal Quantrill, who has one of the highest contact rates allowed in all of baseball, making this one of the best home run prop bets on the board.

Quantrill has given up six home runs already this season, and three of them have been to lefty-batters. Quantrill has allowed four of his six home runs against his sinker, and O’Neil Cruz has a 53.8% hard-hit rate against sinkers so far this season. All three of the home runs Cruz has hit so far this season have come against right-handed pitching.

Mike Yastrzemski (SF) +680

Mike Yastrzemski hit a home run yesterday in Boston, and we like his odds to hit another one tonight in Philly. Yastrzemski has three home runs this season, and all three of them have come against right-handed pitching. Tonight, he faces righty Aaron Nola who he is 3-7 against with a double and a home run. He has an average exit velocity of 91 miles per hour and a launch angle of 27.3 against Nola.

So far this season, Nola has allowed seven home runs, which is tied for the third most in the majors. Five of the seven home runs he has allowed have come against left-handed batters. Based on Nola’s high home run rate against lefties and Yastrzemski’s history against him, this is one of the best home run prop bets to make today.

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