UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Imavov Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds June 8

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for June 8th with Jared Cannonier and Nassourdine Imavov headlining the main event in a middleweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY.

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Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, June 8	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Jared Cannonier +105 vs Nassourdine Imavov -125
Rounds:	4.5 Rounds (Over -160 / Under +125)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 8:00pm ET / 5:00pm PT
Arena:	KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY
TV:	ESPN / ESPN+

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UFC Fight Night Predictions

Andrea Lee -122 vs Montana De La Rosa +102

This is pretty much a loser-goes-home fight as both fighters are on big losing streaks, and I’m not sure either fighter has an big advantage.

Both are mediocre strikers, and Andrea Lee used to have a decent wrestling game, but that seems to have gone away.

I’ll lean De La Rosa in this one as Andrea Lee has looked like she’s thrown in the towel the last couple fights, and although De La Rosa has terrible striking defense, she’s at least looked competitive in her fights.

The only way to bet this fight is to bet the overs, and take the fight to go the distance. These two fought in 2019 and it went the distance, and neither has the power to KO the other on the feet, and neither of them are good at submissions so I don’t see a finish in this one.

Daniel Marcos -110 vs John Castaneda -110

Marcos is a perfect 15-0, but he’s due for a loss as he’s been beating up lesser talented guys. His striking volume is a bit low, but it’s effective and powerful.

He can do damage with only a few strikes, and his striking defense is good, but he can get flat-footed at times, and he’s not very fast. He’s interesting to watch as he doesn’t jump off the screen when you watch him, but he just wins.

Castaneda is much quicker on the feet, and his volume and activity were great in his last fight as he landed 111 strikes against Kyung Ho Kang, but I think Marcos just does more damage in this fight.

I don’t think Castaneda can land the big shots consistently on Marcos, and I think Marcos can slow down the movement with his power. I’ll take Marcos to win and get to 16-0.

Carlos Prates -198 vs Charles Radtke +164

Radtke looked terrible in his UFC debut against Blood Diamond, but then KO’d Urbina in his next fight so he’s tough to figure out.

I’ve seen him wrestle and clinch for long stretches, then I’ve seen him only strike in fights so figuring out what his approach here will be tough. Prates looked amazing on Contender Series, but he looked awful in his UFC debut for the first part of the fight until he showed off his power when he knocked out Trevin Giles out of nowhere.

I’ll chalk it up to nerves in his UFC debut, and I think we see him settle down and show his true potential and power. Prates by KO is the pick here.

Ludovit Klein -125 vs Thiago Moises +114

Both guys are coming off of wins against bad opponents, and they both dominated and finished them so this should be a nice step up for both of them.

Klein’s best performance was two fights ago when he manhandled Bahamondes, showing off takedowns, forward pressure and powerful strikes that we haven’t really seen before. If he fights like that, I think he wins.

Moises is a guy who beats who he should beat, and loses to who he should lose to. He’s beat Ramirez, Costa, and Giagos recently… guys who he’s better than, but he’s been finished by Saint-Denis, Alvarez and Makhachev.

So is Klein better than him or worse than him? I actually think Moises’s leg kicks and takedowns will give Klein problems so I give the slight edge to Moises, and I think he’s worth a sprinkle as the underdog.

Brad Katona -550 vs Jesse Butler +410

Jesse Butler isn’t UFC caliber, and will get beat here. He stepped in short notice to save a fight for Jim Miller, and he lasted 23 seconds before getting KO’d.

Before getting his UFC shot, he fought at lower level promotions and didn’t show good cardio, and he liked to get takedowns and control his opponents on the ground, but his takedown game isn’t impressive and it worked because he was fighting bad fighters, not because his skills are elite.

Katona beat Cody Gibson in his UFC debut in an amazing fight where Katona showed incredible volume and cardio, but he dropped his last fight against Garrett Armfield. That fight was bizarre in that Armfield won 29-28 on all scorecards, but the judges had different rounds scored for him.

I thought Katona should have edged out the win, but the point is it was a very close fight where both Katona and Armfield looked good in all aspects of the fight.

Katona isn’t a finisher, but his striking is light years better than Butler, and he’s going to be tough for Butler to take down, and when Butler doesn’t get him on the ground, it will zap Butler’s eneergy. Katona will roll in this one.

Taylor Lapilus -198 vs Cody Stamann +164

I’m not a Cody Stamann fan so this is an easy pick for me. Stamann doesn’t score anyone with his striking, or his takedowns anymore.

He’s 2-3 in his last 5 fights, and both wins are to guys who are out of the UFC and are a combined 1-7 in their last 8 fights. Lapilus is on his second UFC run, and even though he lost his last fight against Basharat, he showed great takedown defense, and pretty good striking.

My concern with him is that he can get walked down, and it looks like the other fighter is controlling the pace and position.

Stamann will have lots of movement, and forward pressure, and that could play well in the eyes of the judges. I won’t play Lapilus at this price, but I love this fight to go the distance as neither guy is a KO or submission specialist and both guys have the cardio and defense to not get finished.

Rayanne Amanda -238 vs Puja Tomar +195

I thought Rayanne Amanda got robbed in her last fight, but the reasons why she lost last fight could bite her again. Her striking is good, but she didn’t show the aggression to cement her performance.

Tomar is really aggressive and has plenty of KO’s, but she’s fought pretty bad competition, and her striking defense hasn’t been tested against anyone as good as Amanda.

I can’t lay this price on Amanda, but I do think she wins as Tomar has been beating women in the Matrix Fight League, not exactly an elite league. This should be a fun fight on the feet with plenty of strikes landed, but I don’t see value in betting on it.

Eduarda Moura -175 vs Denise Gomes +145

I really like Moura in this fight as she’s going to be bigger, and stronger and she’ll have the big advantage on the ground.

Moura is really impressive with her ground game as she showed in her last fight by mauling Ruiz for the whole fight until she got the finish.

Gomes got the flash win against Juaregi within 20 seconds, but then lost to Angel Hill in a fight that went the distance. I don’t think Gomes can keep Moura off of her for very long, I like Moura to win, probably by KO or Submission on the ground.

Raul Rosas -245 vs Ricky Turcios +200

This is a stay away for me, and maybe I’ll regret it, but I don’t trust Rosas. We’ve seen his potential with some dominating wins with his ground game, but we’ve also seen his immaturity, and I can’t trust him.

We haven’t seen Turcios for a while, and on paper Rosas should be able to take Turcios down and win on the ground, but if Rosas stumbles in the first round and tires himself out, Turcios can take advantage.

I don’t think that will happen, but I just see unknowns and volatility with Rosas right now, and I won’t lay this price.

Miguel Baeza -166 vs Punahele Soriano +140

It doesn’t say much about Soriano that he’s an underdog to a guy who hasn’t fought in over two years, and has lost three straight, but Soriano is so limited as a fighter.

He’s a powerful puncher for a few minutes, then he gasses and is pretty worthless. His three wins in the UFC are all knockouts early in the fight, and he’s lost his other four fight as he doesn’t have a well-rounded game or cardio to win decisions.

Both these guys aren’t very good, and the loser probably gets cut, but I’ll lean Baeza as he just needs to not get knocked out early and he should point fight to a win.

Brunno Ferreira -265 vs Dustin Soltzfus +215

No chance I’m betting on Ferreira at this price. He’s had an interesting UFC run as he got the random KO win over Gregroy Rodrigues, and then got knocked out cold by Ruziobev, and then he KO’d poor Phil Hawes after that, and he’s still never been to the third round in his career.

He’s a powerful guy, but that’s about it. Soltzfus is coming off a win agaist Sorianao who is simlar to Ferreira in that he’s all power so he should have a gameplan ready to go, and I think he’s worth the +215 here.

It won’t be fun to watch him get hit hard in the first round, but if he can get Ferreira down, he’s got the ground game advantage, and he’s worth a sprinkle at this price.

Julian Marquez -115 vs Zach Reese -105

Don’t overthink this, take the under, I don’t care who wins. Marquez comes out firing hard strikes, and if he doesn’t get the finish, he gets knocked out like he did in his last two fights.

Zach Reese only has seven fights, but all have ended in the first round, including his UFC debut where Cody Brundage slammed him so hard on the mat it knocked him out. This fight will be carnage, take it under 1.5 rounds.

Dustin Jacoby -218 vs Dominick Reyes +180

We haven’t seen Reyes in a year and a half, and if his durability hasn’t improved he might face the same result as his last three fights, which is him getting knocked out.

Jacoby isn’t a power puncher as he wins by piecing up his opponents, but if Reyes’s chin is gone, he can absolutely get the finish.

I’m not a big fan of Jacoby at this point in his career as he’s lost three out of four, but his last loss was very close to Reyes started off his career 12-0, but he’s 0-4 in his last four and I think Jacoby uses his kickboxing to soften up Reyes en route to a win.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Jared Cannonier +105 vs Nassourdine Imavov -125

I don’t have a whole lot of betting angles on this fight so I won’t be betting it. I think both guys are a little boring, but effective, and I think the value is on Cannonier actually.

Imavov might be able to have success with the clinch, and maybe even takedowns, but I don’t trust his cardio, and I’ve been impressed with Cannonier’s game plans.

I think the fight goes the distance, and I don’t see either guy running away with this fight, but if Imavov starts to have cardio issues, I think Cannonier can steal late rounds. He’ll be my pick for the purposes of this article, but in real life I won’t be betting on this fight.

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