Best NRFI Bets Today, Best NRFI Picks, Predictions and Odds June 11
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Today’s Best NRFI Picks For June 11th
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The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and we are back to sweating the best NRFI bets today and offering NRFI betting strategy tips. Which games will have a run scored in the first inning, and which games will not? Here are the best NRFI bets today and free NRFI predictions we think you could make for Tuesday, June 11th.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
Over the last seven weeks, our NRFI recommendations are 51-30. Is that good? We think that’s good. We won our recommendations Monday, going 1-0, bringing us to 7-0 over our last seven bets and 52-30 over our last 82 bets.
Today, we look to build on our success in the first-inning market. What are the best NRFI bets to make today? Let’s dive in.
Best NRFI Bets Today – Free NRFI Picks
NRFI Prediction: Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants (-110)
We cashed on this NRFI yesterday, and we are going back to the well today.
The Astros average .54 runs per first frame, but we are fading them today in a pitcher’s park. Their run-per-first inning figure drops to .41 on the road, so we like the NRFI. They have averaged zero runs over their last three games, which is in line with their road splits. They are seeing a pitcher they have hardly seen before, so we are going with the NRFI. Most of their starters have never seen Jordan Hicks.
The Giants are even worse in the first inning, averaging .33 runs per first inning. They have averaged .33 runs per first inning over their last three games. Their run production in the first frame increased to .41 runs at home, which is solid but still a great NRFI target. Both offenses’ mediocre first-inning success has us on the NRFI. Only three Giants players have ever seen Ronel Blanco, and none of them have more than two at-bats.
NRFI Best Bet Today #2 Miami Marlins at New York Mets (-110)
The Marlins put up .63 runs per first frame, near the top of the MLB, but we are fading them today. They are averaging zero runs in the first inning over their last three games. The Marlins score .57 runs in the first on the road, so there is a slight dropoff. They are facing righty Tylor Megill, who has been solid this season and has a .229 xBA against the Marlins’ current roster.
The Mets are averaging .42 runs in the first frame, which is 23rd in the MLB. So far this season, they are averaging .29 runs at home. Left-handed starter Jesus Luzardo makes a start for Miami, and Luzardo has a .318 xwOBA against the current Mets roster.
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