Best NRFI Bets Today, Best NRFI Picks, Predictions and Odds June 12
Today’s Best NRFI Picks For June 12th
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The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and we are back to sweating the best NRFI bets today and offering NRFI betting strategy tips. Which games will have a run scored in the first inning, and which games will not? Here are the best NRFI bets today and free NRFI predictions we think you could make for Wednesday, June 12th.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
Over the last seven weeks, our NRFI recommendations are 54-30. Is that good? We think that’s good. We swept our recommendations Tuesday, going 2-0, bringing us to 9-0 over our last nine bets and 54-30 over our last 84 bets.
Today, we look to build on our success in the first-inning market. What are the best NRFI bets to make today? Let’s dive in.
Best NRFI Bets Today – Free NRFI Picks
NRFI Prediction: Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants (-110)
We cashed on this NRFI yesterday and Monday, and we are going back to the well today.
The Astros average .53 runs per first frame, but we are fading them today in a pitcher’s park. Their run-per-first inning figure drops to .39 on the road, so we like the NRFI. They have averaged zero runs over their last three games, which is in line with their road splits. They are facing Logan Webb, a ground ball pitcher, who has a .320 xwOBA against the current Astros lineup.
The Giants are even worse in the first inning, averaging .32 runs per first inning. They have averaged zero runs per first inning over their last three games. Their run production in the first frame increased to .39 runs at home, which is solid but still a great NRFI target. Both offenses’ mediocre first-inning success has us on the NRFI. Framber Valdez is pitching for Houston, and he has a .310 xwOBA against the current Giants lineup.
NRFI Best Bet Today #2 Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay Rays (-110)
The Cubs put up .51 runs per first frame, which is just outside the top 10 in the MLB, but we are fading them today. They are averaging 1.33 runs in the first inning over their last three games, and we expect regression. The Cubs score .42 runs in the first on the road, so there is a slight dropoff. They are facing righty Aaron Civale, who has been solid this season and has a .254 xwOBA against the Marlins’ current roster.
The Rays are averaging .42 runs in the first frame, which is 22nd in the MLB. So far this season, they are averaging .38 runs at home. Right-handed starter Javier Assad makes a start for Chicago, and Assad has been great this season. Only one Rays starter has even seen Assad, which is also an edge.
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