Best Home Run Prop Bets | Thursday, June 13th
The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we continue picking winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
Yesterday, we hit Cody Bellinger (+430). Last week, we cashed Adley Rutschman (+600) and Mookie Betts (+400).
Two weeks ago, we cashed Alex Bregman (+650) and Bryce Harper (+285). We have been on a heater with home run props. We want to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?
Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) +575
Julio has five home runs this season, and tonight, he was a matchup against a pitcher who is tough to hit but lets up home runs. On the season, Julio is batting .324 against lefties, and two of his five home runs have come against left-handed pitching. He has a 143 wCR+, a .447 BABIP, and a .127 ISO against lefties. Given these splits and the fact he is facing a lefty he sees well, this is one of the best home run prop bets on the board.
Julio has never seen Garrett Crochet, but the White Sox bullpen allows a lot of home runs. Garrett Crochet has allowed nine home runs this season, and all nine have come against right-handed batters, making this one of the best home run prop bets on the board today.
Ketel Marte (AZ) +560
Ketel Marte homered last night, and he has a good matchup to go yard again today. Marte has 14 home runs this season, and his 15th should be in his sights today at home. Marte has a solid matchup today against Griffin Canning.
Griffin Canning is making the start for the Angels on the road, which is a pitcher’s park. Canning has been bad this season; he has allowed 11 home runs this season, and nine of them have come to left-handed batters, but we are going with a righty. Marte is 0-2 in his career against Canning with a 91 miles per hour average exit velocity and a 29-degree launch angle.
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