Best NRFI Bets Today, Best NRFI Picks, Predictions and Odds July 3
Today’s Best NRFI Picks For July 3rd
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
Over the last ten weeks, our NRFI recommendations are 68-33. Is that good? We think that’s good. We swept our recommendations on Tuesday, going 2-0, bringing us to 23-3 over our last 26 bets and 68-33 over our last 101 bets.
Today, we look to build on our success in the first-inning market. What are the best NRFI bets to make today? There are a lot of factors at play when it comes to these bets, so there is always a ton that goes into it. Let’s dive in.
Best NRFI Bets Today – Free NRFI Picks
NRFI Best Bet Today #1: Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (-110)
The Twins are averaging .52 runs in the first frame, which is 10th best in baseball, but we are going against them. So far this season, they are averaging .74 runs at home. They are facing a pitcher they have never seen before, so we expect the Twins bats to be quiet in the first frame.
The Tigers put up .49 runs per first frame, which is in the middle of the pack for the MLB, and we are fading them today. They are averaging .67 runs in the first inning over their last three games, so we expect regression. The Tigers score .54 runs in the first at home, which is a slight increase. They are facing righty David Festa, who is making his first start against any Tiger in his career.
NRFI Best Bet Today #2: Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners (-110)
After cashing these two teams yesterday, we are returning to the well today.
The Orioles are averaging .47 runs in the first frame, which is 15th best in baseball, and we are going against them. So far this season, they are averaging .15 runs on the road. The Mariners have a pitcher’s park, which will help suppress runs. Logan Gilbert makes the start, and he has a .301 xwOBA and a .236 xBA against the current Orioles roster.
The Mariners put up .45 runs per first frame, which is near the bottom of the MLB, and we like them not to score in the first. They are averaging no runs in the first inning over their last three games, and this is a tough matchup. The Mariners score .40 runs in the first at home, which is a slight decrease, and we are fading. They are facing righty Dean Kremer, who has poor metrics against the current Mariners roster, but based on Seattle’s first-inning numbers, we like the NRFI.
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