Sam Houston vs FIU Predictions and Picks | College Football Week 9

As the 2024-2025 college football season continues, all eyes are on the Sam Houston vs FIU matchup, which promises to bring excitement to Tuesday night football.

Sam Houston comes in as the favorite, currently favored by 5.5 points over Florida International (FIU). This Conference USA battle kicks off at 7:30 PM Eastern on ESPNU, and we’re here to break down the key insights, predictions, and best bets for this game.

Sam Houston: Dominating the Ground Game

The Sam Houston Bearkats enter this game with a solid ground attack, averaging 220 rushing yards per game.

They are a run-heavy team, accumulating more yards on the ground than through the air, and averaging nearly 5 yards per carry.

This strength in the run game is expected to be a key factor against an FIU defense that has struggled to stop the run this season.

Sam Houston’s Offensive Edge

Sam Houston’s ability to control the game with their run game is significant, especially since FIU has allowed over 200 rushing yards per game and nearly 5 yards per carry.

The Bearkats should find success on the ground, giving them the advantage in this matchup. However, despite their offensive edge, the video points out that the 5.5-point spread might be too high, and the real value could lie elsewhere.

FIU: Keyone Jenkins’ Return Could Spark the Offense

Florida International (FIU) has had an up-and-down season, and their most recent struggles were partly due to the absence of their starting quarterback, Keon Jenkins.

Jenkins missed the previous game due to injury, and FIU suffered a loss as a 7-point favorite. The good news for FIU fans is that Jenkins is expected to return for this game, which should improve their offensive performance.

FIU’s Home Advantage and Offensive Potential

FIU has been strong offensively when playing at home, averaging 37 points per game on their own turf. With Jenkins back under center, FIU is expected to score points against a Sam Houston defense that has allowed 25 points per game.

While FIU’s defense has struggled to stop the run, their offense has the potential to keep this game competitive, especially with their starting quarterback back in action.

Key Matchup: Sam Houston’s Rushing Attack vs. FIU’s Weak Run Defense

The critical matchup in this game will be Sam Houston’s rushing attack versus FIU’s defense. FIU has struggled to stop the run, and Sam Houston excels on the ground.

If Sam Houston can control the clock and maintain long drives with their run game, they’ll be able to limit FIU’s offensive opportunities.

On the flip side, FIU’s offensive production will depend on how well Keon Jenkins can perform after returning from injury. If FIU can find success through the air and score early, they may be able to challenge Sam Houston’s defense and keep the game close.

Predictions and Best Bets for Sam Houston vs FIU

1. Over 47 Total Points

The video highlights that the real value lies in betting the over on the total points. Both teams have shown the ability to score, with FIU averaging 37 points per game at home and Sam Houston’s offense expected to find success running the ball.

With FIU’s defense struggling to stop the run and Sam Houston allowing over 25 points per game, there is a strong possibility of both teams putting points on the board. Betting the over 47 is the recommended play.

2. Sam Houston Team Total Over 27

Another potential bet to consider is Sam Houston’s team total over 27 points. Given their rushing attack and FIU’s weak run defense, Sam Houston should be able to score consistently throughout the game. This is an additional way to capitalize on Sam Houston’s offensive strength without worrying about the final game outcome.

Final Thoughts: Betting Insights for Sam Houston vs FIU

The Sam Houston vs FIU matchup in Week 8 of the 2024-2025 college football season presents several betting opportunities.

While Sam Houston is favored by 5.5 points, the real value lies in betting the over 47 points, as both teams are expected to find the end zone frequently. Sam Houston’s strong running game will likely dominate, while FIU’s offense, led by the returning Keon Jenkins, could help push the total over.

For bettors looking for additional value, consider Sam Houston’s team total over 27 points, as they should be able to take advantage of FIU’s weak run defense. This Tuesday night matchup should provide plenty of scoring, making the over the best bet for this game.

Stay Updated for More Betting Insights

Stay tuned for more college football predictions and betting insights as the season progresses, and don’t forget to check out Wagertalk.com for expert analysis and free picks.

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