Premier League Predictions, Picks and Odds – EPL Best Bets For November 2-4
Premier League Betting Preview Including Predictions and Odds
WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League betting preview heading into November 2-4 matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Liverpool vs Brighton and Manchester United vs Chelsea. Which teams is he looking to pick up points and which will have goals being scored? Read his betting preview now!
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Liverpool vs Brighton | November 2 | 11:00AM ET
Liverpool -250 | Brighton +595 | Draw +430
High-flying Brighton had their wings clipped somewhat against then bottom-of-the-table Wolves last weekend as they gave up a two-goal lead late on, with Wolves striking twice late with just two minutes of regulation time remaining.
The Seagulls will be doubly eager to bounceback in this one after bowing out of the EFL Cup 3-2 in midweek to this very same Liverpool side also, but they will no doubt place a far greater emphasis on this game given where they’re situated in the table currently.
Liverpool, for their part, were forced to give up top spot in the league to Manchester City last weekend as they slipped to a 2-2 draw against Arsenal. Manager Arne Slot would very likely have taken that result pre-game however against a team in Arsenal that not many teams come out on the right side of a result against.
One of those teams was Brighton earlier in the season however, and the Seagulls have been solid away from home this year, losing just one game on the road all season, a shootout against Chelsea back in September that saw a massive 30 attempts on goal created from both teams.
This is a big line to cover for Liverpool here on Saturday, especially a Liverpool side that has tended to be more pragmatic this season. In fact, the only two teams Liverpool have beaten by margin at home this year have been Brentford and Bournemouth, with Brighton representing a significant step up from that.
Take the Seagulls plus the generous handicap on Saturday against Liverpool.
Premier League Prediction: Brighton +1.5 (-120)
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Manchester United vs Chelsea | November 3 | 11:30AM ET
Manchester United +155 | Chelsea +155 | Draw +275
Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag was finally relieved of his duties on Monday after United slumped to yet another 2-1 defeat against West Ham in what was their fourth outright defeat of the campaign so far.
That was enough for Sir Jim Ratcliffe to make the necessary changes, and as of the time of writing, United’s top target for the managerial post seems to be Portuguese manager Ruben Amorim, who has guided Sporting Lisbon to a perfect start in the Portuguese Primeira Liga to start this season.
United definitely felt that new manager bounce in midweek however when they disposed of Leicester 5-2 in the EFL Cup, but Chelsea represent a far stiffer test this weekend with the Blues starting the season extremely well under new manager Enzo Maresca.
In terms of underlying data, Chelsea rank as the significantly stronger side of the two, with the Blues sitting top-two in the league in total goals scored this year, as well as offensive xG and offensive xG per shot also.
Manchester United meanwhile haven’t been near that standard offensively, sitting bottom of the league overall in xG differential this year, with their defense not ranking much better, as only four teams in the league have given up more total counter-attacking and set-piece goals to opposing teams this season than Manchester United have.
A post-manager sack spot has generally been an extremely positive situation to bet on in the Premier League historically, yet getting the better team at a straight pick ‘em line here on Sunday just presents too much value not to take this weekend.
Premier League Prediction: Chelsea +0 (PK) (-120)
Fulham vs Brentford | November 4 | 11:30AM ET
Fulham +105 | Brentford +250 | Draw +275
Two teams that are locked in mid-table currently clash on Monday night over at Craven Cottage with both teams vying for a top-half spot in the table providing they can get a positive result to close out matchday 10.
Brentford is the team coming in with the better form of the two overall, winning two of their last three games outright, yet this is offset by the fact that the Bees have lost in two of their last three visits to Craven Cottage against Fulham.
Fulham meanwhile are on a current winless run of three straight games in the league after drawing against Everton last week. The Cottagers have however been better at home this season, losing just one of their four matches so far on home turf against a very good Aston Villa team.
These two teams played out a dull 0-0 draw earlier this year back in May, with Brentford managing a total of just seven attempts on goal in that game, with just three on target as well (Fulham also had just three shots on target), and we can see this one playing out very similarly here on Monday as both teams look to cancel each other out and give away little.
Take the big price on the outright draw in this one as we envision a stalemate taking place down in London on Monday.
Premier League Prediction: Draw (+275)
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