New Mexico vs San Diego State – CFB Predictions and Picks For November 8, 2024
The New Mexico Lobos and San Diego State Aztecs face off in a Friday night Mountain West Conference matchup that promises high scoring and offensive action.
Both teams have defensive weaknesses that set the stage for a potential points-heavy game. Here’s a breakdown of predictions, insights, and picks for this late-night contest.
Game Details
Date: Friday, November 8, 2024
Time: 10:30 PM ET
Broadcast: FS1
Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA
Spread: San Diego State -2 | Total: 66
Team Overview and Season Performance
New Mexico Lobos (3-6)
High-Scoring Offense, Weak Defense: The Lobos have averaged almost 35 points per game but struggle defensively, allowing nearly 41 points on average. Their last game, a 49-45 loss to Wyoming, highlighted both their scoring ability and defensive shortcomings.
Frequent High-Scoring Games: New Mexico’s games have averaged around 75 points total, well above their opponents’ season averages. This sets the expectation for another high-scoring game, especially against San Diego State’s similarly challenged defense.
San Diego State Aztecs (3-5)
Offensive Improvement: Under first-year head coach Sean Lewis, the Aztecs’ offense has shown growth, scoring 21 or more points in their last five games and 24 or more in four of those matchups. This marks a significant improvement from their early-season average of 19.5 points per game.
Defensive Vulnerability: San Diego State has also been defensively weak, conceding an average of 60.5 points per game in Mountain West play. Their recent 56-24 loss to Boise State further underscored their struggles on this side of the ball.
Key Matchup Analysis
High Scoring Potential: Both teams have weak defenses and offenses capable of putting up points, creating the potential for a high-scoring game. New Mexico’s offense, combined with San Diego State’s recent scoring consistency, aligns well with the high over/under line.
Defensive Fatigue and Recent Results: Both teams come off high-scoring, physically demanding games, adding to their defensive fatigue. This could lead to more scoring opportunities on both sides.
Betting Predictions and Picks
Spread Pick: San Diego State -2. The Aztecs have shown steady improvement offensively and may cover the spread at home against New Mexico’s struggling defense. However, with both teams scoring heavily, this bet carries some risk.
Total Points: Over 66. Given each team’s defensive issues and scoring ability, the game is likely to exceed the set total, making the over the most favorable option.
Conclusion
The New Mexico vs. San Diego State game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of moving the ball against weak defenses.
San Diego State’s home-field advantage may help them cover the spread, but the over on total points offers a stronger play for bettors. Look forward to a late-night shootout in this Mountain West clash.
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