Central Michigan vs Toledo – CFB Predictions and Picks For November 12, 2024

The Central Michigan Chippewas will take on the Toledo Rockets in a Tuesday night Mid-American Conference (MAC) matchup.

With Toledo favored to win, this game offers a betting angle as both teams face unique challenges. Here’s a breakdown of predictions, picks, and key insights into the matchup based on the current season and recent trends.

Game Details

Date: Tuesday, November 12, 2024
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Broadcast: ESPNU
Location: Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH

Spread: Toledo -15 | Total: 51.5

Team Overview and Season Performance

Central Michigan Chippewas (3-6)

Offensive Struggles: Central Michigan has shown inconsistency on offense, averaging around 25 points per game. They have had issues moving the ball through the air, with a passing attack that’s below the league average, gaining only 6.8 yards per attempt.

Defensive Challenges on the Road: The Chippewas come into this game as significant underdogs, having lost four straight. With a subpar passing attack, they’ll likely struggle against Toledo’s above-average pass defense.

Toledo Rockets (6-3)

Defensive Edge and Home Advantage: Toledo’s defense ranks well in the MAC, particularly against the pass, allowing only 6.4 yards per attempt. Playing at home provides a further advantage, especially given that the Rockets have been able to hold recent opponents to under 30 points in every game on average.

Offensive Efficiency: Although Toledo’s season average of 29 points per game is solid, recent games suggest a slight dip in scoring. The Rockets scored 29 or fewer in each of their last four matchups, mostly due to a strong focus on defense.

Key Matchup Analysis

Scoring Potential and Under Trend: This matchup sees two teams with moderate scoring trends and a Toledo defense that has consistently limited high scores. Despite sharp money initially raising the total to 51.5, betting the under is advisable as neither team has shown high-scoring reliability.

Passing Game Limitations for Central Michigan: As a significant underdog with a weak passing game, Central Michigan may find it difficult to close any scoring gap if they fall behind. This favors Toledo’s defensive strategy, which is likely to stymie the Chippewas’ offensive attempts.

Betting Predictions and Picks

Spread Pick: Lean Toledo -14.5. With a strong defense and efficient offense, Toledo should be able to cover the spread against an inconsistent Central Michigan offense.

Total Points: Under 51.5. Given the recent scoring limitations of both teams and Toledo’s defensive strength, the under is a favorable bet.

Conclusion

In this MAC showdown, Toledo’s defensive edge and Central Michigan’s offensive struggles suggest a low-scoring game.

Bettors can look for Toledo to cover the spread and the under on total points, making these strong picks for the Tuesday night contest. Fans can anticipate a controlled game with a steady Toledo lead.

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