Free Premier League Picks – Top EPL Soccer Predictions For December 14-15

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WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League predictions heading into December 14-15 scheduled matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Newcastle vs Leicester and Manchester City vs Manchester United.

Which teams is he looking to pick up points and which will have goals being scored? Read his betting preview now!

Newcastle vs Leicester | December 14 | 10:00AM ET

Newcastle -330 | Leicester +790 | Draw +495

The Ruud van Nistelrooy magic, which so often brightened Manchester United’s atmosphere a couple of decades ago, is now doing the same for a Leicester side that has seen a noticeable shift in attitude since the Dutch legend took charge a couple of weeks ago.

Van Nistlerooy started his career in the Foxes’ dugout with a comprehensive 3-1 win over West Ham a couple of weeks ago, and followed that up last weekend with a spirited 2-2 draw against Brighton also, with Leicester scoring two late goals to grab a share of the spoils.

That same upturn hasn’t been felt at Newcastle however, who are now mired in a current four-game winless run and look a long way from the team that hammered PSG last season.

At home however, the Magpies have largely been a much better side this season, allowing almost 40% fewer goals than they have done on the road, and beating the likes of Tottenham, Chelsea, and Arsenal at this venue, along with notching draws against Manchester City and Liverpool also.

Newcastle have a tremendous record against newly-promoted sides across recent seasons, with a W12, D8, L1 record across their last 21 matchups, and have owned Leicester in this fixture of late as well, with a W3, D1 record against them over their last four meetings, as well as shutting out Leicester in each of their last three also.

Given Newcastle’s much improved defensive record at home this season, we’re happy to take a piece of the Under here on Saturday, potentially paired with Newcastle to win for an even bigger price also.

Premier League Prediction: Under 3.5 (-135)

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Manchester City vs Manchester United | December 15 | 11:30AM ET

Manchester City -175 | Manchester United +410 | Draw +370

Big north-west derby on Sunday as 13th-placed Manchester United takes on 4th-placed Manchester City in a game featuring two teams that have vastly underperformed so far this season.

For Manchester United, it’s been a rocky start for new Portuguese coach Ruben Amorim who, despite generating initial wins against the likes of Bodo/Glimt and Everton, has struggled to maintain that new manager bounce across recent games, with back-to-back losses against Arsenal and Nottingham Forest respectively across his last two matchdays.

For Manchester City, it’s arguably been even worse, with the Premier League champions continuing to decline rapidly suffering yet another loss in midweek against Juventus in the Champions League.

That defeat marks Manchester City’s seventh loss across all competitions across just the last six weeks alone, a remarkable decline seeing as City lost just three Premier League games across all of last season.

A big contributing factor to that downfall for Manchester City has been a defense that sits third-from-bottom in goals allowed in the Premier League since November 1st, with only Wolves and Leicester giving up more total goals across that timeframe. On top of that, Manchester City’s underlying data makes for some grim reading as well, with only bottom-of-the-table Southampton owning a worse defensive xGA rating since November 1st than City does.

Despite that, the Cityzens have shown a tendency to be much tighter at home this season than they have been on the road, allowing the fewest number of opponent shots in the league at just 7.3 on average, with Manchester United ranking third in that same category away from home also.

Manchester United have also allowed the fewest goals from open play this season away from home, and with five of the last six meetings between these two teams going under the total as well, we’re going to trust the numbers in this one and fade the high total on Sunday.

Premier League Prediction: Under 3.5 (-135)

Southampton vs Tottenham | December 15 | 2:00PM ET

Southampton +315 | Tottenham -135 | Draw +335

If Southampton are ever going to fight their way out of the relegation zone this season it’s likely going to have to come from opportunities like this, with the Saints owning a huge rest advantage over Spurs heading into this weekend’s game.

Tottenham not only have a day’s less rest in normal EPL action than Southampton do, being involved in a pulsating 4-3 shootout defeat against Chelsea last Sunday, but they also have a game on Thursday night against Rangers in the Europa League as well, a matchup that will no doubt be a spicy affair up in Ibrox considering current Tottenham manager Ange Postecoglou enjoyed such a remarkable spell with bitter Rangers rivals Celtic a few years ago.

The deck therefore is heavily stacked in Southampton’s favor ahead of this one, but will it be enough? The answer is likely not as despite all of the rest advantages for Southampton ahead of this one, this is a team that has won just one game all season, and are winless in five straight games heading into this weekend’s matchup as well.

Southampton own the worst defensive record in the league since November 1st, allowing an average of 2.67 GAPG to opponents across that stretch, as well as owning by far the worst defensive xGA rating out of any team also, both overall and at home, so even with fatigue factored in here, Tottenham should have more than enough weapons to hurt the Saints in this one.

Southampton needed a late 93rd minute injury-time penalty to escape with a draw the last time these two teams met at this venue, and if fortune isn’t on their side once again here on Sunday, the Saints could well be headed for another defeat this weekend, even against a Spurs side as stretched as this one.

Premier League Prediction: Tottenham ML (-135)

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