Frisco Bowl Betting Preview | Memphis vs West Virginia Prediction

Memphis vs West Virginia Betting Preview

Memphis closed the regular season with an outright upset win over Tulane as a 12.5-point ‘dog. Can the Tigers keep that momentum rolling with a win over West Virginia in the Frisco Bowl? GoldSheet – The country’s longest-running sports betting newsletter – shares its thoughts on the matchup between the Mountaineers and Tigers.

Frisco Bowl Details

When:	9pm ET / 6pm PT on December 17
Where:	Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas
Watch:	ESPN
Spread:	Memphis -5
Total:	59 Points

Frisco Bowl odds above courtesy of DraftKings as of 11:30am ET on Monday, December 16

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Memphis Tigers

The Tigers went 6-5-1 against the spread with a pair of covers in their final two games. Memphis went 7-0 straight-up at home at the Liberty Bowl, but just 3-2 away from home. Memphis is just 2-5-1 against the spread in the Tigers’ last eight games as a favorite.

Oddsmakers generally did a good job with totals in Memphis’ games this season because the Tigers were top-20 in points scored, but they were involved in six overs and six unders. Memphis has won-and-covered its last three bowl appearances.

West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia fired head coach Neal Brown after the regular season finale. Offensive coordinator Chad Scott will serve as the interim head coach for the Frisco Bowl.

West Virginia went 5-7 against the number this season after losing the finale 52-15 at Texas Tech. Interestingly, the Mountaineers had a better record on the road (3-2) than they did in Morgantown (3-4). Eight of West Virginia’s 12 games went over the total.

West Virginia was on an 0-4 ATS bowl slide before last year’s 30-10 win-and-cover against North Carolina in Charlotte. This marks the ninth-consecutive game where West Virginia will be an underdog (4-4 ATS).

Frisco Bowl Prediction

Since being established in 2014, the Frisco Bowl has seen the favorite go 7-2 straight-up and 6-3 against the spread. Seven of the nine games have seen 61+ points scored, and that’s the direction that we’re looking in this one.

West Virginia retained its offensive coordinator, which should keep some level of continuity on that side of the ball for the Mountaineers. The defense, however, is a different story.

Almost all of the impactful “opt outs” are expected to be on the defensive side of the ball for both teams. WVU’s Josiah Trotter is one of the best linebackers in the country, and he’s on the hunt for a new home. The Mountaineers’ defense was LAST in the country in EPA per pass attempt allowed and bottom-5 in passing success rate allowed.

That’s music to the ears of the Tigers’ offense, who’s determined to send QB Seth Henigan out on a high note. In his four seasons as a starter in Memphis, Henigan has 102 touchdown passes and nearly 14,000 passing yards.

Star running back Mario Anderson Jr. is a potential opt-out, but if that happens, that’s only going to keep the ball in Henigan’s hands even more against a terrible passing defense.

Frisco Bowl Prediction: Over 59 Points

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WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the college football moneylines, point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of this season’s bowl games, including Tuesday’s Frisco Bowl clash between West Virginia and Memphis.

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