Top English Premier League Picks, Predictions and Bets For January 25-26
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WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League predictions heading into January 25-26 scheduled matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Brighton vs Everton and Aston Villa vs Newcastle.
Which teams is he looking to pick up points and which will have goals being scored? Read his betting preview now!
Brighton vs Everton | January 25 | 10:00AM ET
Brighton -150 | Everton +440 | Draw +285
Everton bounced back with a much-needed win last weekend as they overcame Tottenham in a five-goal thriller at Goodison Park.
A 3-0 lead from the first half was enough to carry the Toffees to victory in that one despite a spirited fightback from Spurs in the second half, yet those second half issues for Everton will need to be rectified sooner rather than later with only a slim four-point cushion now separating the Toffees from the relegation zone.
In fact, no team in the Premier League has scored fewer second half goals this season than Everton has, with the Toffees only managing to score a total of seven times after the midway break across all of their matches this season.
Brighton meanwhile enjoyed a similarly uplifting win last weekend as they overcame Manchester United 3-1 inside Old Trafford, a win that marked Brighton’s third straight victory overall, as well as a current seven-game unbeaten streak since mid-December also.
Despite the heavy odds-on price tag for the Seagulls ahead of this one, Brighton have not fared particularly well down on the south coast hosting Everton across recent seasons, going winless across each of their last four meetings here.
Given Everton’s impressive performances inside the first half of games this season (1.40 PPG/6th in the league), along with their positive recent head-to-head record against Brighton at the Amex as well, we’re happy to side with the Toffees in the first half on Saturday catching a quarter goal headstart at plus money.
Premier League Prediction: 1H Everton +0.25 (+105)
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Southampton vs Newcastle | January 25 | 10:00AM ET
Southampton +600 | Newcastle -250 | Draw +420
With just six points amassed in the league all season and suffering yet another defeat last weekend against Nottingham Forest, Southampton are on course to be the worst Premier League side in history should they fail to find a way to correct their current trajectory.
Derby County of course are famous holders of that title after their dismal 11-point season back in 2007-08, yet the Rams did hold one more point than Southampton at this same stage of their respective campaigns, and averaged 0.29 PPG on the season as a whole. Another loss for Southampton here on Saturday against Newcastle would see their Premier League return drop to just 0.26 PPG on average.
Of course, they have the ability to rectify that scenario with a win this weekend, but that will be easier said than done, especially against a Newcastle side that, despite losing heavily against Bournemouth last weekend, has nonetheless won an impressive nine of their last ten games overall.
The Magpies have been thoroughly dominant over Southampton across recent meetings as well, winning all of their last six encounters against the Saints.
Overall, Southampton must look to curb a defense that has allowed 31 goals in the league since November 1st (joint-highest overall), as well as giving up the most number of goals across the final 15 minutes of play this season also (75+ minutes).
Should that trend continue here on Saturday, the second half to be the highest-scoring half looks like a decent play this weekend.
Premier League Prediction: Highest Scoring Half – 2nd (+110)
Aston Villa vs West Ham | January 26 | 11:30AM ET
Aston Villa -180 | West Ham +475 | Draw +335
A tough defeat over in Europe against Monaco on Wednesday night dropped Villa level on points with their French counterparts in what’s been an enthralling first few months in the new Champions League format.
That defeat to Monaco in midweek however remains the Villains’ only loss since losing to Newcastle back at the end of December, and domestically at least they’ve been solid, going W3, D2, L0 across their last five games.
West Ham meanwhile have been anything but solid, losing to Crystal Palace 2-0 last weekend in what was an absolutely paltry attacking display from the Hammers, generating a total of just 0.30 xG and 0 shots on goal in that match.
That was West Ham’s fourth defeat in their last five games overall, and new manager Graham Potter really has it all to do if he’s going to turn the Hammers season around across the back half of the season.
The good news for West Ham however is that they sit a fairly comfortable ten points above the drop zone currently, so it’s not panic stations just yet for them, and the Hammers also own a very good record against Aston Villa at this venue across recent seasons, going W4, D1, L2 here in their last seven visits to the West Midlands.
That said however, their last encounter at Villa Park ended in a one-sided 4-1 rout to the Villains, and with West Ham’s defense not looking any more solid of late, more goals could well be on the cards for Sunday’s game also.
Both teams sit near the bottom in terms of clean sheet percentage this season at 18% and 14% respectively, so we’re happy to take a piece of both teams to find the back of the net once again this Sunday.
Premier League Prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-130)
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