2025 The PLAYERS Championship Golf Free Picks, Predictions and DFS Lineup March 13-16

2025 The PLAYERS Championship Preview- Golf Free Picks
WagerTalk golf handicapper Andy Lang offers his thoughts on The PLAYERS Championship teeing off from TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, FL. Andy discusses his DraftKings Darlings, golfers to who can trip you up and the course and more surrounding the 2025 The PLAYERS Championship teeing off on March 13th!
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2025 The PLAYERS Championship | 2025 The PLAYERS Championship Betting Notes |
---|---|
When: | March 13-16 |
Where: | TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course) in Ponte Vedra Beach, FL |
Defending Champ: | Scottie Scheffler |
Current Favorite: | Scottie Scheffler (+4000 at DraftKings) |
TV: | Golf Channel, NBC |
2025 The PLAYERS Championship Course Preview
The Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass is one of the most demanding and balanced tests in professional golf. Measuring 7,352 yards as a Par 72, the Pete Dye design ensures that no single style of play has an advantage—every part of a golfer’s game must be sharp to contend.
There’s a saying at this tournament: “The guy that plays the best that week, wins the tournament,” and history proves it.
Past champions like Scottie Scheffler, Cameron Smith, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy all have different strengths, yet they each thrived here by executing in every area. This year, weather conditions look ideal for most of the week, with only possible wind and rain late on Sunday, which could impact the final round.
The overseeded Ryegrass and Fescue fairways provide consistent lies, while the Poa Trivialis overseeded greens play smoother and more receptive than traditional Bermudagrass, helping players who struggle on grainier greens.
With recent yardage extensions to multiple holes, including key par-5s (2nd, 11th, and 16th), TPC Sawgrass remains a strategic and mentally demanding course where only the best all-around player will hoist the trophy on Sunday—weather permitting.
**Throw out the 2022 results. Crazy storm came in on the afternoon on Friday and everyone that played in the afternoon missed the cut or finished bad and the morning guys had it way easier.
**Only 3 times since 2007 has the winner come from the late tee times on Thursday. 2024 Scheffler, 2014 Kaymer, 2013 Tiger Woods
2025 The PLAYERS Championship Favorite Holes
Favorite Hole: 17th hole Par 3 135 Yards
This is probably the easiest Favorite Hole of the year. It’s one of the most famous holes in the world, maybe the most famous. On paper, it sounds easy. 135 Yard Par 3?
However, shooting it to an island green with almost no rough drives these guys crazy every year. Along with the water, there’s an annoying pot bunker in front, and several tiers on the green which can make putting a nightmare. Every year, the club says they pull about 120,000 golf balls out of the water at years end.
Last year, Tom Kim shot +2 going into the 17th, he put his first shot in the water, ended up with a triple bogey, and he promptly withdrew from the tourney. It’s an iconic hole, it would be foolish to pick another hole as the favorite this week.
18th Hole: Par 4 460 Yards
Deceivingly nice hole here. The hole bends to the left with water right on the fairways edge, however being on the left side of the fairway is by far the best angle to attack the hole.
Drives off to the right could flirt with the trees, and the angle is much more difficult to attack the hole. The green is a tough one as there are big changes in elevations that can make for difficult 2-putts.
A courageous, and accurate drive will set up a green light for birdie, but wayward drives spell disaster. Water on the left of the green, and bunkers short and long create just a bit more added difficulty as well. The final 2 holes here are really good.
2025 The PLAYERS Championship: Players That Can Trip You Up
Xander Schauffele
He made this segment last week, and we were right as he needed a -3 in round 4 to finish 40th, but I’m still of the opinion it’s going to take him several tournaments to get back to form.
He looks like he’s lost muscle, and there’s no way he’s been able to practice at 100% and it showed. Driving accuracy was back, putting was bad, around the green was horrific, and the only thing that he did well was his approaches.
It’s a stacked field on a course that demands a good performance from all parts of the game, I just don’t think he’s going to be consistent over all 4 rounds. He’s priced as a Top 6 guy, I just don’t see it.
Collin Morikawa
I think there could be a letdown from him this week after he blew a lead late in the 4th round to lose to Henley.
His numbers across the board are really good, but this is a course he hasn’t played well at for some reason.
He’s finished 45th, 13th, MC and 41st in his 4 appearances here, and it seems come down to putting for him as he’s negative strokes gained in all 4 of those tournaments, and last year he really struggled with approach and accuracy off the tee.
Let down spot, and bad course history is playing with fire if you’re betting on him this week.
Russell Henley
After the win last week, you’re going to have to pay a premium price for him this week as he’s priced as a top 11 golfer, and he’s never finished top 11 here. Four missed cuts in the last 6 years here with a 13th and 19th in 2022 and 2023.
He’s having an incredible year, maybe he keeps it up this week, but you’re not getting a good deal anymore on him. Also, after a big win like that, there is letdown potential so I’ll proceed with caution.
The PLAYERS Championship DraftKings Darlings
***Last week’s lineup got us a 47th place finish in a 150 person tournament, and that was with 2 guys missing the cut so apparently a lot of people struggled.
Taylor Moore $5600
This is an insane price. He’s finished 35th and 31st the last 2 years here, and he’s made 6 cuts in a row this season. His driving and putting have been fantastic the last 30 days, and while his approach numbers haven’t been good, it hasn’t prevented him from making cuts.
Jake Knapp $5900
I like that he took last week off after a disappointing 6th place finish the previous week, but that was his 7th tournament in a row and a little break was probably needed. He finished 45th here last year, and he’s +0.54 approach and +0.42 putting this season, more than good enough to make the cut this week if he keeps up those numbers.
Keith Mitchell $7000
He’s been a made cut machine this season making all 5 cuts, and he’s made the cut in 5 out of 6 events he’s played here. He’s always been a long hitter with lackluster stats in other areas, but he’s plus strokes gained putting, approach and around the green this season so he’s good enough to play at this price.
Rest Of Lineup: Si Woo Kim $8200, Ludvig Aberg $10,200, Scottie Scheffler $12,800
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