Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Tuesday, April 29
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Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets on Tuesday! You can find free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Tuesday, April 29.
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
Nick Castellanos (PHI) +480
Nick Castellanos rides a modest four-game hitting streak into the Phillies’ home game against the Nationals today who are sending lefty MacKenzie Gore to the mound.
Castellanos has feasted on lefties in recent history belting a home run every 15 at bats against lefties last season and one every 34 at bats against righties.
It’s translated to this season so far as Castellanos sports a .645 slugging percentage against lefties this season compared to just a .361 slugging percentage against righties.
The Phillies’ outfielder has also thrived at home batting .304 with a .543 slugging percentage at Citizens Bank Park compared to a .263 average and .368 slugging percentage in road games.
It’s been 13 games since Castellanos last hit a home run so he’s due and he is 7-22 with two home runs lifetime against Gore.
The Nationals’ starter has allowed a .313 opponent batting average in road games compared to a .161 average allowed in home games and has allowed a home run in three of his last five starts.
Take Castellanos to hit a home run at +480 with other Philadelphia hitters to consider for a home run being Bryce Harper (+340) and Trea Turner (+450).
MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Pete Alonso (NYM) +370
The Mets got the bats going yesterday putting up 19 runs in their win against the Nationals as they return home where they’ve gone 12-1 straight up this season to host Eduardo Rodriguez and the Diamondbacks.
Pete Alonso has a hit in nine of his last ten games although he hasn’t hit a home run in his last eight games despite slugging .659 this month.
Alonso doesn’t have a hit in six career at bats against Rodriguez, but is batting .350 with a .650 slugging percentage against lefties this season.
Last season against Arizona Alonso batted .269 with a .731 slugging percentage with Rodriguez going 5.1 innings allowing five earned runs including a home run against the Mets last season.
Look for Alonso to get his power going today hitting a home run at +370 odds with other Mets bats to look at for a home run include Francisco Lindor (+450) and Brandon Nimmo (+750) who had two home runs and nine RBIs yesterday.
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