Inter Milan vs Liverpool Predictions and Odds Feb 16
Champions League Betting Preview
WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman offers his Inter Milan vs Liverpool betting preview in the UEFA Champions League for Wednesday, February 16. One year after the Reds were unceremoniously eliminated from Champions League and Premier League contention, Liverpool looks poised to make another deep run.
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| Wednesday, February 16 | Champions League Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Liverpool: | +110 |
| Inter Milan: | +250 |
| Draw: | +250 |
| Total: | 2.75 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT |
Inter Milan vs Liverpool Analysis
Inter Milan had been cruising, winning eight straight Serie A games from November to January, keeping six clean sheets along the way. However, there were a lot of layups along the way including clean sheet wins over Venezia, Spezia, Cagliari, Salernitana and Torino. The concern I have with Inter is their performances against the better teams in the league.
Over their last four games, they have played three of the Top-5 teams in the league and failed to win any of them. They now find themselves looking up, one point behind AC Milan, although they do have a game in hand. Still, those performances are worrisome.
Starting with a 0-0 draw at Atalanta in a very evenly played game, Inter then lost at home to AC Milan 1-2 before settling for another draw, 1-1 at Napoli this past weekend. Although Napoli probably deserved to get the win in that game as xG (expected goals) showed a final tally of Napoli 1.88 – 0.77 Inter.
Those three games are a reminder that Inter is far from an elite team and highlights their season-long performance against the Top-6 teams in the league in which they have just a 2-5-2 record. They failed to score more than one goal in 67% of those games (six of nine) while keeping just one single clean sheet.
It’s also worth noting that in the UCL group stage, they finished 2nd, beating up on Sheriff Tiraspol and Shakhtar Donetsk, as they should, but they lost both games against Real Madrid without scoring a goal in either game.
Liverpool Poised to Make a Run
Liverpool did what they had to over the weekend, winning 1-0 at Burnley and although I’m sure they would have liked a more comfortable win, they still got the job done. That was the 4th straight win for the Reds, allowing just one goal in those four wins, which is something we have grown accustomed to from Liverpool as they are once again playing great defense on the season.
They have allowed just 19 goals in the EPL thru 24 games and just 0.96 xGA per game, ranking 4th and 3rd, respectively. Offensively though, they have scored a league-high 61 goals and average 2.55 xG per game, also the highest in the league. They generate 18.9 shots per game with 7.0 on goal, both ranking as the best in the league while allowing just 8.3 shots and 3.0 on goal, both ranking only behind Manchester City.
Inter Milan vs Liverpool Prediction
Comparing Liverpool’s EPL season numbers vs Inter Milan’s Serie A numbers doesn’t show too much difference between the teams, but you have to remember Liverpool is competing in the best league in the world compared to Serie A, which has a handful of good teams, but then drops off a cliff in terms of talent.
Additionally, Liverpool has the pedigree needed to win big games as they showed in the group stage. Their group was much tougher than Inter Milan, and they went a perfect 6-0 against a very good Porto team, defensive-minded Atletico Madrid, and Serie A leaders, AC Milan.
Liverpool’s line-up is back to full strength with the return of Salah and Mane from AFCON, both back in the starting XI over the weekend against Burnley and that will likely spell trouble for Inter.
Champions League Recommendation: PLAY LIVERPOOL +110
Interested in placing a bet on Wednesday’s Inter Milan vs Liverpool showdown in the Champions League? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
Stoppage Time | Inter Milan vs Liverpool Preview
After a two month hiatus, the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League resumes on Tuesday with the first round of knockout matches. Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos, and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time at 10am ET / 7am PT as we break down this week’s featured Champions League matches across Europe, including PSG vs Real Madrid; Inter Milan vs Liverpool; Barcelona vs Napoli; and RB Leipzig vs Real Sociedad.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features odds from a variety of domestic and offshore sports books. Track the moneylines and totals for all of this week’s Champions League matches, including this Inter Milan vs Liverpool showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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