2022-23 EPL Top-6 and Tricast Betting Markets
EPL Top-6 Betting Odds
There were no surprises at the top of the Premier League table last season with “the big six” occupying all of the Europen qualification spots. Will an under-the-radar team crash the party this year? WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on the Premier League top-6 betting market.
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European Qualification
It’s no surprise to see last season’s top six finishers – Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham, Arsenal and Manchester United – all be favored to repeat the success of last year, but let’s dig into the numbers a little to see if we can spy some value on a potential outsider.
After an incredibly poor start to last season which culminated in a 4-1 thrashing against then Championship side Nottingham Forest over in the FA Cup, Leicester City boss Brendan Rodgers laid down the hammer with the team and told them in no uncertain terms that places were on the line from that point on.
That seemed to have lit a fire under this Leicester squad as from February 28th when they sat down in 13th in the league with just seven wins all season, they then went on from March 1st on to rank as the fourth-best team in the league banking 25 points from their final 15 games.
A return to form for the Foxes would not be a surprise here and at +500 they arguably present the best value to get back inside the top six for this season.
Premier League Tricast
We already covered in a previous article how, even at odds of -165, Manchester City still had value to take the outright title this year, so in terms of a tricast who are we backing to take the No. 2 and No. 3 spots?
The Manchester City/Liverpool/Tottenham tricast is the bookies’ overall favorite this year going off at a +700 and while that wouldn’t be a complete surprise this season, especially considering how well Tottenham has looked since Antonio Conte took charge back at the start of November, we believe Chelsea presents better value to get back in the mix at current odds.
The much-vaunted return of striker Romelu Lukaku to Stamford Bridge last season just hasn’t worked out for the Belgian striker and he’s headed back to Italy on loan this summer as tensions between him and manager Thomas Tuchel continue to boil over.
While the loss of a striker of Lukaku’s obvious talent might be seen as a detriment to a team, in this case it isn’t and Chelsea played far better without him throughout most of the season, as was the case in their quarterfinal second leg against eventual tournament winners Real Madrid where the Blues stunned ‘Los Blancos’ with an electric performance which seen them take a 3-0 lead in that game, with Timo Werner especially on form.
Chelsea has a ton of talent at their disposal ahead of this season, they’ve off-loaded a huge dressing room problem in Lukaku and have the cloud of Russian sanctions cleared over them with new owner Todd Boehly taking the helm and we like Chelsea to get back to challenging for the title this year with a much rejuvenated effort in 2022/23.
Take the Manchester City/Chelsea/Liverpool tricast at huge odds of +1400 as the best value on the board for the upcoming EPL season.
2022-23 Premier League Top-6 Odds
Odds below courtesy of DraftKings as of Saturday, July 9:
| Team | 2022-23 Premier League Top-6 Odds |
|---|---|
| Manchester City | n/a |
| Liverpool | -3500 |
| Chelsea | -425 |
| Tottenham | -400 |
| Manchester United | -225 |
| Arsenal | -200 |
| Newcastle | +275 |
| West Ham United | +350 |
| Aston Villa | +450 |
| Leicester City | +500 |
| Brighton | +900 |
| Wolves | +1000 |
| Everton | +1200 |
| Crystal Palace | +1200 |
| Southampton | +1800 |
| Leeds | +1800 |
| Brentford | +1800 |
| Fulham | +3500 |
| Nottingham Forest | +4000 |
| Bournemouth | +6500 |
2022-23 Premier League Betting Previews
Click Here for Title Odds Analysis
Click Here for Relegation Odds Analysis
Click Here for Golden Boot Analysis
Soccer Betting 101
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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