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Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson Preview and Picks January 25 – Boxing Preview

Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson predictions for 1/25/25

Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson Franco Betting Preview

Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson takes place at the Cosmopolitan in Las Vegas boxing in a super middleweight bout on Saturday, January 25 as WagerTalk boxing handicapper Kevin Dolan gives his Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson betting preview with the match set to start around 11:00pm ET.

Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson Betting Odds

Saturday, January 25Boxing Betting Notes (Courtesy of DraftKings)
Moneyline:Diego Pacheco -400 vs Steven Nelson +300
Rounds:10.5 (Over -225 / Under +165)
Start Time:11:00pm ET / 8:00pm PT
Arena:Cosmopolitan in Las Vegas, NV
TV:DAZN

Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson Betting Analysis

Young super-middleweight phenom Diego Pacheco returns to action this Saturday night over in Las Vegas, Nevada as he takes on a fighter 13 years his senior this weekend in ‘So Cold’ Steven Nelson.

Despite the pronounced age gap between the two fighters, both men will enter the ring with undefeated records on Saturday, with both amassing those records largely through impressive knockout ratios, with Pacheco racking up an 81.8% KO percentage across his career so far, while Nelson isn’t too far behind him either at 80%.

Diego Pacheco goes into this one as the significant -400 favorite this weekend, with Steven Nelson coming back as a +300 underdog at most books.

Pacheco In Line For Canelo’s WBO Crown

Standing at an imposing 6 ft 4 in tall, and with a huge reach advantage over most of his opponents, Diego Pacheco presents a huge problem for the rest of the super-middleweight division to deal with, especially as he continues to gain more experience.

One of those potential future opponents for Pacheco would be Canelo, with Pacheco ranking next in line for Canelo’s WBO title, a fight that would no doubt be a blockbuster main event for most Mexican fans.

With exquisite timing combined with power in both hands to complement that length and range, it looks like only a matter of time until Pacheco is given that world title shot he so desperately wants in the very near future.

Late Start In Boxing Proving No Handicap For Nelson

Despite entering the professional ranks just three months shy of his 28th birthday, Steven Nelson has proven it’s been little to no handicap for him so far across his career, building up an impressive resume of 20 straight wins combined with 16 knockouts, with just one of his last seven opponents making it the full distance against him in a fight.

However, while Diego Pacheco does have the likes of Jack Cullen and Maciej Sulecki on his resume, fringe world title contenders, Nelson has really fought no one of note up to this point, with Saturday’s fight against Pacheco providing a real litmus test for his undefeated record.

Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson Expert Prediction

Steven Nelson is better than advertised here, with his experience through age alone ensuring he doesn’t get overly reckless in fights, and he showed that in his last bout by being extremely patient in pressuring, and eventually breaking down, Marcos Vazquez over five rounds on the undercard of Terence Crawford and Israil Madrimov back in August.

That said, that constant pressure that Nelson likes to exhibit in fights will likely land him in hot water here as Pacheco is one of the crispest counter-punchers in the entire sport, with Jack Cullen’s similarly pressuring style walking him onto a lethal left hand to the body, a shot he never recovered from.

Nelson does have the potential to cause Pacheco as many problems as Shawn McCalman did recently, another under-appreciated fighter, should he manage to get inside and smother Pacheco’s length in this one, but Pacheco has learned from that experience as he showed against Maciej Sulecki in his last fight, so it’s very likely Nelson’s high-pressure style will be his downfall here on Saturday night. 

Diego Pacheco vs Steven Nelson Prediction: Diego Pacheco to Win in Rounds 5-8 (+600)

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