Naoya Inoue vs Luis Nery Predictions, Picks and Odds May 6

Naoya Inoue vs Luis Nery Betting Preview

Naoya Inoue and Luis Nery head to Tokyo, Japan to box in a undisputed super bantamweight championship on Monday, May 6 as WagerTalk boxing handicapper Kevin Dolan gives his Naoya Inoue vs Luis Nery prediction and picks with the card set to start around 4:00am ET.

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Naoya Inoue vs Luis Nery Betting Odds

Monday, May 6	Boxing Betting Notes (Courtesy of DraftKings)
Moneyline:	Naoya Inoue -1400 vs Luis Nery +800
Rounds:	6.5 (Over -115 / Under -115)
Start Time:	4:00am ET / 1:00am PT
Arena:	Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan
TV:	ESPN+

Naoya Inoue vs Luis Nery Betting Analysis

‘The Monster’, Japanese sensation Naoya Inoue, returns to action on Monday after becoming undisputed in his second straight weight class after unifying all the belts against Filipino Marlon Tapales back in December.

Tapales proved tougher than anticipated in that bout, making a real fight of it in Tokyo during the middle rounds, but as was the case with 22 of Inoue’s other former opponents, Tapales was eventually worn down and stopped late on by Inoue.

The Japanese phenom however takes on another serious test on Monday in the shape of former two-division champion Luis Nery who is once again back on the comeback trail title-wise after losing his belt against Brandon Figueroa back in 2021.

Naoya Inoue enters Monday’s contest as the -1400 favorite, with Luis Nery coming back as a +800 underdog.

Inoue Arguably Reaching His Peak

Not only is Naoya Inoue reaching his peak right now in terms of being in his physical prime, turning 31 three weeks ago, but he’s arguably reached his peak in terms of the number of weight classes he can potentially go through moving forward as well.

Inoue started his boxing career, and won his first world title, all the way down at junior flyweight (108 lbs), but since then has gone through an additional four weight classes in his pursuit of becoming the best in the sport, culminating in his current status as the ‘King of the Super Bantamweight’ division (122 lbs).

Yet even those remarkable achievements aren’t enough for some observers, with rumors circulating about a possible fight against Gervonta Davis or Shakur Stevenson at a catchweight, as well as a more realistic option to move to 126 lbs to chase his next undisputed run.

Whatever the future may hold for Inoue, we’ve already seen the size disparity between himself and the likes of Stephen Fulton in the ring, with Marlon Tapales being able to eat a lot of straight shots from Inoue as well.

Super bantamweight may well be the ceiling where we finally see ‘The Monster’ settle down and make this division his own.

Nery Looking For Redemption

It’s fair to say that despite his obvious talent level, Luis Nery has had a few other major issues outside the ring that have derailed the star he arguably should have been.

Testing positive for a banned substance in his first fight against Shinsuke Yamanaka back in 2017, before then going on to miss weight entirely in the subsequent rematch, culminated in Nery suffering a 7th round stoppage at the hands of ‘The Heartbreaker’ Brandon Figueroa back in May 2021 due largely to his unprofessional attitude to the sport of boxing.

However, Luis Nery has put together three stoppages since then from his last three fights, and with a multitude of experience fighting in Japan previously as the road fighter, may view this opportunity as a personal redemption arc for himself.

Naoya Inoue vs Luis Nery Expert Prediction

Luis Nery definitely shouldn’t be underestimated ahead of this one as he has a tremendous toolkit of skills with which to frustrate the current P4P king in Japan on Monday.

Nery’s only loss up to this point was that stoppage defeat at the hands of Brandon Figueroa two years ago, but Brandon Figueroa is an extremely high-volume pressure fighter, whose relentless work rate in the ring simply overwhelmed Nery who couldn’t cope with the constant pressure in that fight, eventually getting finished from a body shot.

That’s not Inoue’s game however, and I’m expecting more of a tactical type chess match from two extremely gifted fighters here on Monday.

Nery has formidable power of his own, showcasing that to the Japanese public in his two knockout victories against former champion Shinsuke Yamanaka, with neither of those fights making it past the 4th round. Therefore, Inoue can’t afford to get reckless here, and he’ll no doubt respect Nery’s power early on in this one.

That said, Inoue is the P4P #1 for a reason, and his constant stalking, angles, and pinpoint accurate power shots should eventually prove too much for Nery at some point in this fight, so I believe we see a stoppage somewhere in the second half of this fight on Monday.

Naoya Inoue vs Luis Nery Prediction: Naoya Inoue Rounds 7-12 (+155)

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