Maryland vs Florida: NCAA Tournament Picks For March 27, 2025

Maryland and Florida clash in a Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament game on Thursday night in college basketball. Get college basketball picks for today around Maryland vs Florida battling in a Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup in San Francisco, CA!

Here’s a breakdown of predictions and picks for this Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament game tipping off at 7:39PM ET on March 27, 2025!

Maryland vs Florida Game Details

Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
Time: 7:39 PM ET / 4:39 PM PT
Broadcast: TBS
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Spread: Florida -6.5 | Total: 157.5

Maryland vs Florida Betting Preview

When the dust settled on last weekend’s results and the Sweet Sixteen field was made clear, we entered this week prepared to back Maryland plus the points in this matchup.

Terps head coach Kevin Willard threw one heckuva curve ball into those plans. Villanova fired former head coach Kyle Neptune on March 15, and while other teams in the Big East have made some splashy hires, the Wildcats have been strangely quiet.

Well, it’s now pretty apparent that they knew who they wanted all along. Maryland’s athletic department was thrown into turmoil at the end of last week when athletic director Damon Evans announced that he was leaving for SMU.

With his current team still in the NCAA Tournament, Willard (allegedly!) has one foot out the door and the Terps do not have an athletic director to help weather the storm.

Maryland’s best player is true freshman Derik Queen, who hit the game-winning buzzer-beater against Colorado State last week.

Queen has a tremendous amount of talent, but asking a freshman to hold a team together under quirky circumstances is a tough ask.

Instead of backing Maryland plus the points, we’re a little more interested in the over. We backed the over in Florida’s win over UConn, which was probably the luckiest cover we’ll see all season.

The Huskies and Gators combined for 54 points over the final nine minutes, and we thank them for their efforts.

UConn did a fantastic job of slowing that game to a crawl, but we’re not sure Maryland can (or wants to) do the same. Both teams are top-65 in pace, but the biggest issue for Maryland is depth.

The Terps were No. 319 in bench usage this season, and Coach Willard has shrunk that bench down even farther over the last couple weeks.

Maryland’s starting five each played at least 33 minutes in Sunday’s win over Colorado State, and the Terps’ bench played a combined total of 21 minutes. Maryland’s bench combined for two points, no rebounds and one assist in those 21 minutes.

If Florida can get the Terps into some foul trouble, then Maryland will be in danger of getting blown out. Florida forced UConn to commit 21 fouls on Sunday as three Huskies finished with four fouls.

Maryland vs Florida Predictions

The faster Florida plays, the more possessions that we’ll see. The more possessions that we’ll see, the more opportunities for Maryland to commit fouls and force Willard to go to his bench.

The Gators are much deeper and can afford an absence or two if someone gets into foul trouble. Maryland cannot.

Florida’s offense has been able to beat just about every defense that opponents have thrown their way. The Gators’ last nine games have all gone over the total.

If there is any kind of lapse in coaching or focus or effort because of the Willard situation, it’s likely to appear on the defensive end.

Maryland vs Florida Prediction: Over 157

FREE March Madness Betting Guide Now Available

Gear up for the Madness with our must-have 2025 March Madness Guide!

Here’s what’s included in your FREE 9-page Betting Guide:

✅ 21 Proven March Madness Betting Systems & Sub-Systems
✅ Straight-Up, ATS, & Over/Under records—sorted by seeds and tournament rounds from the past four years
✅ Conference Records as Favorites and Underdogs (last 4 years)
✅ National Championship Odds Comparison: DraftKings vs. FanDuel
✅ The Biggest March Madness Upsets Since 2012

GoldSheet Top Picks

Whether you enjoy written analysis, breaking down stats or creating your own power ratings, The Basketball GoldSheet has something for everyone.

The Basketball GoldSheet newsletter features stat breakdowns for every NBA and college basketball game each day, plus in-depth written analysis on our Key Releases by 12pm ET / 9am PT each morning. Grab a 30-day pass for just over $2 per day and we’ll see you on the hardwood.

Stay Updated for More Betting Insights

Stay updated on the latest college basketball betting insights and predictions at Wagertalk.com, where we provide expert analysis throughout the 2024-2025 college basketball season.

Watch ALL of the College Basketball Free Picks Videos and Betting Reviews for the Week!

Love What You See? Sign Up for a Free WagerTalk Account!

Sign up to receive game-day updates, late breaking releases, free picks, best bets, exclusive betting features, pay per game and package access, contests, community networking, award-winning content and much more. Get your account today – it’s FREE!

Becoming a member of Wagertalk.com is 100% FREE with NO OBLIGATION or CREDIT CARD REQUIRED! Upon sign-up, you get instant access to our community and special offers and free picks. Sign up to WagerTalk now!

**************************************************

Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?

• Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
• Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
• Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.

Make sure to bookmark all the above!