Mount St. Mary’s vs American: College Basketball Picks For March 19, 2025

Mount St. Mary’s and American clash in a First Four NCAA Tournament game on Wednesday night in college basketball. Get college basketball picks for today around Mount St. Mary’s vs American battling in a First Four showdown in Dayton, OH!

Here’s a breakdown of predictions and picks for this First Four NCAA Tournament game tipping off at 6:40PM ET on March 19, 2025!

Mount St. Mary’s vs American Game Details

Date: Wednesday, March 19, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM ET / 3:40 PM PT
Broadcast: truTV
Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH
Spread: American -2.5 | Total: 128.5

Mount St. Mary’s vs American Betting Preview

In Tuesday’s Alabama State vs Saint Francis preview, we mentioned that from an advanced analytics’ perspective, this was the worst crop of 16-seeds in the NCAA Tournament since 2002.

American and Mount St. Mary’s both finished their seasons with a 22-12 record, but both are top-5 in the country in KenPom’s Luck Rating. Since January 11, American has gone 15-3 straight-up, including 7-0 in games decided by four points or fewer.

The Eagles run their offense through 6-foot-9 senior Matt Rogers, who is able to score in the paint in addition to the three-point line.

The week-long break probably came at a good time for American because Rogers was wearing down at the end of the season.

Over the Eagles’ last six games, Rogers shot 9-for-27 from three-point range and he only attempted four shots from the field against Lafayette in the Patriot League Tournament.

Early money has shown on the under in this contest, but we’re interested in being the buy-back. With the benefit of some hindsight, Mount St. Mary’s plays the perfect defense for the MAAC Tournament at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City.

The Mountaineers look to take away the paint and will allow you to shoot a high volume from the three-point line.

In MAAC play, over 48-percent of field goal attempts against Mount St. Mary’s came from behind the three-point line.

The MAAC Tournament at Boardwalk Hall has almost always been low-scoring as opponents struggle with the unusual sightlines of the venue that doesn’t normally host basketball games.

Mount St. Mary’s three opponents – Marist, Merrimack and Iona – combined to shoot 15-for-75 (20-percent) from three-point range against the Mountaineers. That strategy might not work on Wednesday in Dayton.

Mount St. Mary’s vs American Predictions

American attempted the highest-number of three-point shots in the Patriot League this season, and the Eagles are top-60 in the country in three-point volume.

American has shot over 35-percent from beyond the arc this season. We mentioned Rogers slowing down at the end of the year, but the Eagles have had a full week off to rest up for this one.

If Mount St. Mary’s wants to give American open looks from the three-point line, that is a game that the Eagles are very comfortable playing.

If this game is tight and comes down to free throws, American is top-60 in the country in free throw shooting. The pace of play is likely to be slow, but there are enough avenues for this game to crawl over the total.

Mount St. Mary’s vs American Prediction: Over 128.5

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