St. Francis vs Alabama State: College Basketball Picks For March 18, 2025
St. Francis and Alabama State clash in a First Four NCAA Tournament game on Tuesday night in college basketball. Get college basketball picks for today around St. Francis vs Alabama State battling in a First Four showdown in Dayton, OH!
Here’s a breakdown of predictions and picks for this NCAA Tournament game tipping off at 6:40PM ET on March 18, 2025!
St. Francis vs Alabama State Game Details
Date: Tuesday, March 18, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM ET / 3:40 PM PT
Broadcast: truTV
Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH
Spread: Alabama State -3.5 | Total: 139.5
St. Francis vs Alabama State Betting Preview
College basketball analyst Will Warren maintains an NCAA Tournament database that dates back to 2022. In terms of adjusted efficiency, this is the worst batch of 16-seeds since 2004.
Unfortunately for the Hornets and Red Flash, they are a big reason why. Per KenPom’s metrics, Alabama State’s SWAC was the worst conference in the country this season, and Saint Francis’ NEC was the second-worst conference in the country this season.
One month ago, Saint Francis was 10-17 overall and 5-8 in the NEC. The Red Flash won their last six games (5-0-1 ATS), including a double-digit upset over Central Connecticut in the conference championship game.
Eleven of Saint Francis’ last 14 games have gone over the total. Alabama State was the 5-seed in the SWAC Tournament, but the Hornets got a dream path after 1-seed Southern was upset in the quarterfinals.
Alabama State has gone 10-1 straight-up, 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 games. Nine of Alabama State’s last ten games have stayed under the total.
The SWAC has earned the reputation as being the worst league in the country, but a big reason why is because nearly every school creates an impossible non-conference schedule every year. Nearly every team schedules a gauntlet of non-conference opponents to help balance the school’s athletic budget.
Alabama State traveled to UNLV, LSU, Cincinnati, SMU and Missouri this season. That non-conference experience has helped the SWAC participant in the NCAA Tournament in recent years.
Texas Southern won its opening round game in 2021 and 2022. Grambling won its opening round game last season. We believe Alabama State can keep that run going this year.
The Hornets are top-5 in the country in turnover rate this season. Senior point guard CJ Hines has started 61 out of a possible 62 games over the last two years.
His backcourt mate is senior TJ Madlock, who is the head coach’s son. That duo has played a lot of basketball together.
St. Francis vs Alabama State Predictions
Tip your cap to Rob Krimmel for getting Saint Francis to the dance, but the Red Flash have flipped the right coin for six-straight games.
Here is the six-game path that Saint Francis has taken to get to this game: Win in overtime, win in overtime, win in overtime, three-point win, three-point win and three-point win.
No one is hotter at the roulette table right now, but at some point, the dealer is going to roll a dud.
St. Francis vs Alabama State Prediction: Alabama State -3.5
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