Xavier vs Texas: College Basketball Picks For March 19, 2025

Xavier and Texas clash in a First Four NCAA Tournament game on Wednesday night in college basketball. Get college basketball picks for today around Xavier vs Texas battling in a First Four showdown in Dayton, OH!

Here’s a breakdown of predictions and picks for this First Four NCAA Tournament game tipping off at 9:10PM ET on March 19, 2025!

Xavier vs Texas Game Details

Date: Wednesday, March 19, 2025
Time: 9:10 PM ET / 6:10 PM PT
Broadcast: truTV
Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH
Spread: Xavier -3.5 | Total: 151.5

Xavier vs Texas Betting Preview

North Carolina’s inclusion into the NCAA Tournament drew the most attention, but a very strong case could be made that Texas is the “luckiest” team to be involved in this year’s event.

Per KenPom, the Longhorns played the No. 349 non-conference schedule and lost their two marquee games against Ohio State and UConn.

Over the first two months of the season, Texas had one win over a top-100 team (Saint Joe’s). The Longhorns proceeded to go 6-12 in SEC play before pulling off a pair of important wins in the conference tournament.

Should a team with 15 losses be in the NCAA Tournament after playing a bottom-15 non-conference schedule? Probably not, but the Longhorns are here, and this is a good matchup for Texas to advance.

Through absolutely no fault of their own, the Musketeers’ schedule doesn’t exactly hold up very well under the microscope either.

Xavier also played a non-conference schedule that ranks outside the top-200. Non-conference games against South Carolina, Wake Forest, TCU and Cincinnati all lost shine because none of those four teams accomplished anything this season.

Xavier’s Big East schedule was very front-loaded and the Musketeers had a very easy path to rack up wins at the end of the season. Xavier’s last four road games were at Villanova, at Providence, at Seton Hall and at Butler.

Those four teams combined to go 25-55 in conference play. Xavier only played one NCAA Tournament team (Creighton at home) in its last nine regular season games.

The Musketeers drew a dream opponent in the opening round of the Big East Tournament (Marquette, who went 4-6 down the stretch and was struggling mightily), and they lost that contest.

So for every knock on Texas, it’s not hard to find some for Xavier. Xavier only has three wins over teams in the NCAA Tournament: Marquette, UConn and Creighton. Texas has seven.

Xavier vs Texas Predictions

The Musketeers enjoyed a +5.5-percent advantage from the three-point line in Big East play as Xavier shot 38.0-percent from beyond the arc, compared to 32.5-percent from its conference opponents. Some of that is skill and coaching and should be applauded, but that is also a red flag for regression.

And when those outside shots are not falling, Xavier is No. 317 in the country in offensive rebounding rate. We would not be comfortable laying three points with the Musketeers in this matchup.

Xavier vs Texas Prediction: Texas +3.5

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