Alabama vs LSU NCAAF Week 10 Picks and Predictions
Alabama vs LSU Betting Preview
WagerTalk college football handicapper Tony Finn offers his Alabama vs LSU SEC football betting preview for Saturday, November 6 at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. At the time of posting, the Crimson Tide are a -28.5 home favorite over the Tigers with the total sitting at 66 points.
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Alabama vs LSU Predictions
- Alabama Crimson Tide -28.5 vs LSU Tigers
- Total: 66 Points
- Alabama is 6-2 against the spread in the Crimson Tide’s last eight meetings with LSU.
- Alabama has covered the spread in each of the Crimson Tide’s last seven SEC home games.
The No. 3-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide hosts the LSU Tigers in an SEC under the lights event on Bryant-Denny turf Saturday. Alabama checks in as the No. 2 seed for the College Football Playoff in January. Nick Saban’s troupe was positioned behind conference rival Georgia in the first CFP rankings. ‘Bama opened as 28-point home favorites with the total set at 66.5. The Tigers and Crimson Tide are both entering this Week 10 contest off bye weeks.
The Tide were last seen battling Tennessee and earning a 52-24 victory in Tuscaloosa. Following the announcement of head coach Ed Orgeron departing the program after the season, the Tigers players fell to the Ole Miss Rebels in a 31-17 final in Oxford.
Fewer than two years after he and his staff engineered one of college football’s greatest seasons, the legend of the Bayou and now of Baton Rouge is out after just three seasons. More than one story has been reported on the building friction between Coach O and the school’s administration. The reported result of the settlement between the coach and LSU administrators found Orgeron getting a full payout of this contract financials while finishing out the season as the head coach.
A national college football championship, a team winning percentage around 75 percent, and in a mere 20-plus month, the hunt for a new football coach is underway as the players play and the coaches coach. How many of the players will stay and how many will depart with Orgeron is sweeping dialogue. Those who stay are playing for a team, coach, or simply riding the roller coaster until it comes to a stop.
LSU opened this season with a loss in Westwood to the UCLA Bruins. , won their next three games and then fell to Auburn in a 24-19 loss at home in Week 5, in which quarterback Bo Nix and Auburn captured their first lead in the game with just over three minutes remaining in the game. Auburn hadn’t won in Death Valley since 1999. LSU followed that up with a 42-21 loss to Kentucky in Week 6 and a 49-42 win over Florida that preceded the announcement of Orgeron’s firing.
On Saturday, Orgeron and the Tigers lost at No. 12 Ole Miss in LSU’s first game since the separation was announced. In that first game for the coach and players and as the game progressed, reality set in for those not involved in the team’s day-to-day. Injuries and defections were going to take their toll. At one point in the contest against the Rebels, the Tigers were playing a backup to one of the backups at cornerback, and the team was without their primary and backup Nickelback.
As difficult as it is to motivate a team with a lame-duck head coach, it becomes a great deal more stressful when you can’t field a defense against an SEC team quarterbacked by Heisman hopeful Matt Corral. The LSU Tigers were in Oxford facing the No. #12 team in the FBS on the road without the defense’s top five cornerbacks.
The fairy tale of the Baton Rouge rise of Coach O wasn’t in a farewell tour for himself, his staff, and players; rather, they were a part of an unraveling that could have, and still could, get ugly. LSU takes the field Saturday night in Tuscaloosa with a fired coach and 50 percent of their best players.
Josh Chatham from RollBamaRoll wrote during the week following the loss to Ole Miss, “This is pure speculation on my part, so take it with all of the grains of salt, but it sure sounds like he’s trying to at least hint at the possibility of a forfeit. Guess we’ll find out.” Here are some first thoughts on LSU’s 31-17 loss at Ole Miss on Saturday.
Brody Miller, a staff writer for The Athletic, pieced an article that tossed around what was to become of Orgeron and the current players. “Tigers fought early against Ole Miss, but their depleted roster faded late,” Miller wrote.
Miller went on to report that coach Orgeron told reporters in a conference call, “The LSU Tigers have so few players available because of injuries that they will be unable to hold a full football practice Wednesday.” When Orgeron spoke to a large number of injuries in the conference, he stated: “that a previously scheduled scrimmage on Thursday won’t be able to take place either.”
Blake Toppmeyer from KnoxNews wrote a piece on the LSU lame-duck head coach today, November 2nd, titled “Brutally honest, Ed Orgeron’s self-scout became evisceration of LSU football.” Toppmeyer wrote, “Ed Orgeron has labeled Mondays as “Tell the Truth Monday” throughout his coaching tenure. And, boy, did LSU’s lame-duck coach tell some truths this Monday.”
“We’re too predictable by formations,” Orgeron said. “We’re too predictable on first down. We are very, very predictable on defense. We need to have more variety on first down. We give them the same looks over and over again. There’s not much disguise.”
Toppmeyer added that Orgeron was honest in his self-assessment and that he agreed. “This team has warts, and this staff hasn’t covered them. Injuries to LSU’s most talented players made matters worse.” The Knoxnews contributor added.
Two years ago, LSU defeated Alabama 46-41, a game muddled in with the rest of the teams that Orgeron and Heisman Trophy winner Joe Burrow defeated. In the glory and butt slaps that Orgeron was receiving from the football world, the term “Loose lips sink Ships” was phrased. In the locker room, Orgeron proclaimed his program’s staying power to the Baton Rouge media following the Tigers win over the Crimson Tide.
“We’ve finally got the tools that we need to beat those guys,” Orgeron proudly broadcast. Toppmeyer commented on this presser of which he was a part. “He [Orgeron] used more colorful language in a locker-room celebration that was captured on video.”
The bare-ass-naked truth of what happened in that national championship season, what was colorfully spoken to in the presser following LSU’s win over Saban and his Crimson Tide, will all by written history in the next year or ten. What is known and how I have decided to best outline this Saturday night game in quarter-by-quarter scripture is this:
The word sometimes connected with a negative connotation that Orgeron used when telling the football world how he could now defeat Saban and the All-Mighty Alabama Crimson Tide, “tools” left Orgeron for a career in the NFL. Orgeron, who is 9-9 since that championship game victory, didn’t find equally talented “tools” to replace those that had departed, or what some would say, deserted, the coach and the LSU football program.
What else is known, or should be, is that Saban is as loyal as the 24-Hours Sunlight and Darkness; the Midnight Sun is true to the Alaska natives. He is also one that returns favors in full.
In one way or another, Ed Orgeron and the LSU Tigers should not be preparing for a game as much as they should be reading, for, as sure as the Midnight Sun in the northern sky is the arse-kicking they are to receive by No. #3 Alabama and Saban on Saturday (7:00 pm ET, ESPN) in Tuscaloosa.
Alabama will win, and when a college team, especially one that is led by Nick Saban. Furthermore, the opening line in Saturday’s SEC fistfight at Denny Stadium of 28-points isn’t enough. The truth is, double the 28 and makes the line and ‘Bama 56-point favorites. College football is a different animal than the NFL or any other sport that is popular with the masses.
How different?
Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide will not only win on Denny turf Saturday night; they will win by as many as Nick Saban decides.
đAlabama has covered the spread in seven-straight SEC home games. Can LSU snap that streak on Saturday? @DrewMartinBets @BLeonardSports and @TheSportsWolf83 offer their SEC betting thoughts.#GeauxTigers| #RollTide https://t.co/Y0AUlCWg0o
â WagerTalk (@WagerTalk) November 3, 2021
Alabama vs LSU Analysis from The GoldSheet
Though the Playoff Committee insists that margins of victory have no bearing on their rankings, try telling that to Nick Saban, who has been around long enough to value âpoll opticsâ and has decided to keep his foot on the accelerator since the loss at A&M on October 9. QB Bryce Young has been in the game late and throwing touchdown passes against both Mississippi State and Tennessee with the Tide ahead by 3+ touchdowns in each. Or maybe Saban just wants Young to win the Heisman. Whatever, donât expect Saban to show much mercy on LSU, especially as he knows he wonât have to worry about Ed Orgeron exacting revenge anytime soon as they continue to search for his successor at Baton Rouge. Sabanâs long memory was also reflected last December 5 when he showed no mercy vs. the Tigers in a 55-17 romp to atone for the 46-41 loss that Joe Burrow & Co. laid on the Tide en route to the national title in 2019.
Best Damn College Football Show
Alabama grabbed plenty of headlines on Tuesday night as the Crimson Tide debuted at No. 2 in the first College Football Playoff rankings. Can Alabama back up that ranking with a convincing home win over LSU on Saturday? Join Drew Martin, Rob Veno and Ralph Michaels as we preview the marquee matchups for Week 10 of the college football season, including Louisville vs Clemson; Alabama vs LSU; and Nebraska vs Ohio State.
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