Auburn vs Alabama Iron Bowl Picks and Predictions Nov 27

Auburn vs Alabama Iron Bowl Betting Preview

Sportsmemo college football handicapper JM Sports offers his Auburn vs Alabama SEC football betting preview for Saturday, November 27. At the time of posting, the Crimson Tide are a 19-point road favorite at Auburn with the total sitting at 56 points.

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Auburn vs Alabama Predictions

Auburn Tigers +19 vs Alabama Crimson Tide
Total: 56 Points
Alabama is 14-7 against the spread in their last 21 games
Auburn has won three of the last four meetings at Jordan-Hare Stadium.

After last week the Alabama Crimson Tide clinched their spot in the SEC championship game against Georgia, but this isn’t a game to take lightly. Alabama fell a spot in the rankings after a narrow win against Arkansas and now find themselves in the bottom half of the CFP teams. Ohio State looked impressive last week, but Alabama has two weeks to make their way back into the top-2, but if they have their eyes already set on Georgia, this is a game that could come back to bite them.

Alabama has an obvious edge statistically over Auburn. The Crimson Tide has been a dominant team against SEC opponents, averaging 486 YPG (#8 vs. CONF) on 6.53 YPP, resulting in 39 PPG (#9). The defense has stood tall as well, holding opponents from this difficult conference to 360 YPG and allowing just 24.7 PPG. Alabama has pulled out a 4-3 ATS record against the SEC and they are just 1-2 against the spread on the road. Although this Crimson Tide offense has been impressive on the road, putting up almost 40 points per game and allowing just 26. In the L2W Alabama has put up an average of 629 YPG (posting 2 of their 3 highest yardage totals on the year), including 671 yards LW vs. Arkansas. Arkansas may not be the best defense in the SEC, but statistically they are very similar to the Auburn Tigers.

As mentioned, the Auburn Tigers team may not compare statistically to Alabama, but they have played the 5th hardest schedule in the country. The Tigers have put up just under 400 YPG against SEC opponents, but have put up just 22.4 points in the conference games. The defense has allowed 417 YPG against the SEC, but opponents have been held to 25.7 PPG against Auburn. They have put up some solid numbers against a difficult schedule but they have lost 3 straight games ATS, failing to cover by 12.5 points per game in those 3. The Tigers are 1-3 ATS at home (allowing over 30 PPG), and posting a 3-4 ATS record against the conference. This is also just the second time this season that Auburn has been a HD (w/ a DD ATS L to Georgia), while only covering 2 out of 5 games as a ‘dog this season.

This isn’t a game to take lightly for Alabama, and as a 19.5 point favorite, that is not an easy task against an Auburn team that has won 3 out of the L4 ATS at home against the Crimson Tide. The Auburn Tigers have lost 6 TO’s in the L4 games (after losing just 5 TO’s in the F7 games), but I am leaning towards the Tigers on this one. While I think Alabama will win this game, and go on to face Georgia in the SEC championship, I do think Auburn will break the 0-3 ATS run that they are currently on.

🏈 North Carolina travels to Carter-Finley Stadium to take on NC State for rivalry week. UNC is 0-5 ATS on the road this season, while NC State has covered the spread in ten of their last 12 home games. @JMSportsCLE extends his thoughts below.
👉 https://t.co/VYK98kcpJu

— Sportsmemo (@sportsmemo) November 24, 2021

Auburn vs Alabama Analysis from The GoldSheet

We suspect that right about now the Auburn faithful are going to start missing Gus Malzahn, who if nothing else proved unafraid of Nick Saban after beating him three of four times at Jordan-Hare as the Tigers’ head coach. As he’s still learning local etiquette and proper the “War Eagle” greeting, we’re not as sure effective foreigner Bryan Harsin ever scales those sorts of heights (especially if he’s really going to be on the move to his native Northwest and Washington, or Oregon if it opens up, as the rumor mill is suggesting). The absence of Bo Nix (ankle) also removes the chance the “good Bo” shows up as he did in a mistake-free effort the last time Auburn hosted the Tide in a rousing 2019 upset. With LSU transfer T.J. Finley at the controls, the Tigers couldn’t beat South Carolina last week, and Finley still might have nightmares about the last time he started against Bama while still in Baton Rouge last season.

Rest assured Saban hasn’t forgotten losing three of the last four at Jordan-Hare, or the unexpected close call last week vs. Arkansas, which gives him a perfect excuse to run up a score if he wants to keep the Selection Committee interested in case ‘Bama falls to its second loss in next week’s SEC title game vs. Georgia. Not to mention giving QB Bryce Young every chance to match Ohio State C.J. Stroud in the Heisman race. Unless Auburn gets some old Iron Bowl magic, this looks more likely to be a Saban-Bryce Young show.

Auburn vs Alabama Video Preview

Can the Tigers disrupt Alabama’s path to the SEC Championship Game, and potentially the College Football Playoff? WagerTalk college football handicappers Drew Martin, Tony Mejia and Rob Veno offer their Auburn vs Alabama preview.

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