Baylor Football Predictions, Betting Tips & Team Preview 2023: WagerTalk Best Betting Guide

Baylor Football Predictions & Preview 2023:

Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky runs down Baylor Football’s chances for 2023 and provides expert tips for betting on Baylor in 2023. Ron looks at areas to watch, favorability of schedule, offers a predicted record for Baylor football in 2023 and offers some handicapping tips for betting on Baylor this season.

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Baylor Football Preview 2023: Baylor Picks for Betting

Here’s what I said in this space a year ago: 8-4 would be a solid accomplishment and a sign that Baylor is here to stay.  Watch their QB closely! 

Regression to 6-6 is not necessarily a sign that 2021 was a fluke.  Baylor went 6-6, finishing with four straight losses, counting their bowl game. 

While 2023 will not be easy, the foundation has been laid for continued bowl appearances. 

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Baylor Football Predictions: AREAS TO WATCH

Offensively, I’m not sure QB Sharpen is the answer. 

I like that he’s back and can build on last year, which was a bit up and down.  The run game should remain solid, IF the revamped OL can open some holes. 

Four senior starters are gone from that line, so that’s the top watch area.  Defensively, I’m a bit surprised that Coach Aranda fired coordinator Ron Roberts. 

Yes, ’22 was rough, but allowing 4.15/146 on the ground and 61% through the air after losing plenty of talent is hardly cause for dismissal.  A familiar face comes over from Oregon, and he’ll be charged with increasing pass pressure (24 sacks) and finding new faces in the secondary.  He’s said to be aggressive in that regard. 

A bigger concern is replacing their NT, who was a 3^rd round draft choice.  A redshirt freshman is penciled in as his replacement.  One source had Baylor’s special team efficiency ranked 119^th.  Phil Steele rated the unit 90^th best.  That coordinator was also fired.  The new guy comes from Charlotte. 

Baylor Bears Football 2023 Predictions, Baylor Schedule:

Baylor’s shot at 3-0 before conference play opens will depend on how they fare hosting Utah.  The Utes are well coached, but are not always ready to go early in the year.  Texas is first up on 9/23.  Baylor has won three of the last four as a host, but were favored all four times. 

They’ll be underdogs now.  UCF’s first ever Big 12 game is hosting the Bears.  I’ll pre-check Baylor’s mindset after hosting soon to be departed rival Texas, and also check the defense for holes.  Games hosting (revenge-minded) Texas Tech are usually close.  I expect that to be the case once again.  How’s the new staff doing at Cincy?  Cincy has been great at home of late, but now I’ll pre-check how they are faring with lots of new faces on their team.  The usual result is a close home win vs. Iowa State. 

Has Iowa St rebounded from a down ’22, or is their true level about the same as Baylor, but with fewer splash recruits?  Baylor was 1-3 in home conference games a year ago.  That’s a check for me prior to hosting Houston, a team with solid talent but also one that can fade a bit late in some seasons. 

Games 10-11 are on the road at Kansas State and TCU, tough ones for Baylor Football  Aranda has had two poor outings vs. Kansas State, while the TCU series has been incredibly wild, including last year’s successful “fire drill” field goal executed by TCU as the game ended.  Baylor closes hosting West Virginia (43-40 loss at their place last year). 

Baylor Football Bottom Line:

Lots of new players must step up, but the framework is there for another bowl season.  I have Baylor at 7-5 for now, but would not be surprised if they flirted with better.  As a reminder, study checks include the OL, secondary, and the sack ratio.  Add close game kicking to the list as well. 

Baylor Football HANDICAPPING TIP:

Let’s just repeat the last two years please (11-0 ATS).  My leans right now are plus hosting Utah, minus as a HF hosting Texas Tech, and looking dog ^first in their game at TCU.

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