Boise State vs Utah State College Football Predictions, Picks and Odds November 25

Boise State vs Utah State Betting Preview

Boise State will be playing in the Mountain West Conference Championship on December 3rd but first, WagerTalk college football handicapper Kevin Dolan shares this thoughts on Friday’s Mountain West matchup between Boise State vs Utah State which will be each team’s last game of the regular season.

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Friday, November 25	Mountain West Conference College Football Betting Notes
Point Spread:	Boise State Broncos -16.5 vs Utah State Aggies
Total:	o/u 52 Points
Location:	Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID
Game Time:	12:00pm ET / 9:00am PT (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
TV:	CBS

Boise State vs Utah State Betting Analysis

Friday’s Boise State vs Utah State showdown in the Mountain West is one of a number of contests this weekend featuring a team that has already booked its place in a conference championship game. How will that affect the Broncos gameplan for this one?

Boise State will take on Fresno State for the conference title next week, but that shouldn’t distract the Broncos too much as tthey’ll no doubt want to come into that contest in the best possible form. A comprehensive win at home this weekend against another Mountain West rival would go a long way to providing that.

Utah State is playing its best football of the season with wins in five of its last six games, including a victory over San Jose State last week.

Boise has won 21 of 26 meetings in this series since 1977, including each of the last six. The Broncos have won those six by an average margin of 22.5 points per game.

Aggies Getting Run Over This Season

It’s been a tale of two units for Utah State’s defense this season. The Aggies are above average in a number of passing categories, but have gotten crushed on the ground.

Utah State’s defense is allowing a mammoth 197.4 yards per game on the ground this season (114th in the country).

That number gets even worse when Aggies have gone on the road, allowing 212.4 yards per game. That’s a bad combination when you’re about to face a rushing offense as dynamic as Boise State’s.

Boise State Getting It Done On Defense

The Broncos have been exceptional on defense, allowing just 279.3 yards per game, which is the fifth-best mark in the country. What separates the Broncos’ defense in particular is their passing defense which ranks No. 2 in passing yards allowed at 147.3 yards per game.

Boise State vs Utah State Prediction

This matchup all comes down to how Boise State approaches this game because if they’re dialed in here, they have the capability to blow the doors off Utah State in this spot by 20+ points.

However, if they’re caught ball-napping and looking ahead to next week’s title game against Fresno State instead, Utah State might well sneak in the back door in this one. Because of that, we’re going to avoid taking a side on Friday.

The under looks like the most appealing play in this one as we just don’t see Utah State scoring many points here against a Broncos defense that has been absolutely lights out all season long.

Utah State’s rushing offense has been non-existent for most of this season, and Boise State will know how to defend a one-dimensional passing attack. Take the under on Friday between Utah State and Boise State in Albertson’s Stadium.

Prediction: Under 52 Points Scored

Happy Hour CFB Kickoff Show

Join a panel of WagerTalk college football handicappers for the Happy Hour CFB Kickoff Show as we break down this week’s college football betting slate from a variety of handicapping angles.

College Football Odds Screen

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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