Cincinnati Bearcats Football Predictions, Betting Tips & Team Preview 2023: WagerTalk Best Betting Guide

Cincinnati Bearcats Football Predictions & Preview 2023:

Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky runs down the Cincinnati Bearcat’s chances for 2023 and provides expert tips for betting on the Cincinnati Bearcats in 2023. Ron looks at areas to watch, favorability of schedule, offers a predicted record for Cincinnati Bearcats football in 2023 and offers some handicapping tips for betting on the Cincinnati Bearcats this season.

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Cincinnati Bearcats Football Preview 2023: Cincinnati Bearcats Picks for Betting

Timing is everything.  42-8 prior to last season, Cincy got noticed, and obtained an invitation to the Big 12.  Luke Fickell had already been noticed, and after another nine wins, he left to go to Wisconsin. 

Players and coaches followed him, making Scott Satterfield’s 1^st season here a bit more challenging.  Let’s see what’s in store for the Bearcats.

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Cincinnati Bearcats Football Predictions: AREAS TO WATCH

Brad Glenn is stepping up in class as the new offensive coordinator.  His new QB, Emory Jones is on his 3^rd school in as many seasons.  He fits Satterfield’s scheme but has not produced many wins in his career.  With many defections, much of this offense will look different. 

As of 6/24, the depth chart lists seven transfers on the 1^st string offense, including two or three along the OL.  There are four such transfers for the back seven of the defense.  As a whole, Cincy has just seven returning starters, and a new PK.  Cincy has put up impressive defensive #’s for several years running.  Louisville’s defense improved a lot in ’22, so I’ll chart how fast this unit comes together. 

One area to watch is the secondary, as that unit has lost six starters over the past two seasons.  After a pair of 54% performances, I’m projecting 59.5% for ’23.  After years of near dead-last kicking, Cincy found a solid transfer last year.  He’s transferred again, so there’s a new PK (11-14 at ASU) for ’23.

Cincinnati Bearcats 2023 Predictions, Cincinnati Bearcats Schedule:

Cincy has a tough game at Pitt, but otherwise should be 2-1 heading into Big Ten play, where they will host Oklahoma.  I see this, right or wrong, as an important transition for the team (and fans).  A blowout loss could spell more trouble. 

A great effort and perhaps an upset win could have the opposite effect.  The next game is on a Friday, at BYU.  With one less day to rebound, this could be problematic. Home games vs. Iowa St and Baylor are next.  Using 2022 ending Power numbers, Cincy would be competitive with either team.  With a new staff and a massively different starting roster, that may not be the case. 

Oklahoma State is not necessarily a complete team, but going to their place won’t be easy.  The goal is 4-4 to this point, but even at 3-5 there could be hope.  Closing games are home to rival UCF, at rival Houston, at West Virginia, and home to Kansas, where they will have a solid situational advantage.

Cincinnati Bearcats Football Bottom Line:

How different is this team from a year ago?  It starts with the coaching staff, but Cincy also replaces its leading QB and RB, plus their top eight pass catchers. 

It’s not quite as bad defensively, except that LB Pace is off to the NFL, bringing with him eye-popping #’s that were best by far for this defense.  This could be ugly, but the schedule pacing is pretty good.  The offense could surprise if QB Jones further develops, while the defense could take a step back, with the question being how much of a step back will be taken. 

I’m willing to say 5-7 or maybe even 6-6, but with so many changes, this assessment is written in light pencil.  My September work will hopefully point me in the right direction.  My advice: Study everything for games 1-6 before their bye week.

Cincinnati Bearcats Football HANDICAPPING TIP:

Cincy was never a rush vs. pick in 2022, but when the data was flat, and not in their favor, Cincy went 0-3 ATS. 

This is noteworthy because it often leads to good play against situations the following year, especially with a new coach.  Right now, without data analysis, I’m leaning vs. at BYU and for in the finale hosting Kansas.

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