College Football Predictions and Picks: Kennesaw State vs Western Kentucky

Kennesaw State travels to face Western Kentucky in a Wednesday night matchup, which brings the excitement of an underdog story as the Owls aim to continue their recent upset streak.

Here’s a breakdown of predictions and picks for this non-conference clash kicking off at 7:30pm ET on October 30, 2024!

Game Details

Date: Wednesday, October 30, 2024
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Broadcast: ESPN2
Location: Houchens Industries–L. T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Kentucky
Spread: Western Kentucky -24 | Total: 48.5

Team Overview and Season Performance

Kennesaw State Owls

Kennesaw State is coming off one of the biggest upsets in college football this season. As 26-point underdogs, the Owls managed a stunning victory over Liberty, a performance that has generated significant buzz.

Despite being a newly minted Division 1 team with a 1-6 record, the Owls’ upset win is a testament to their recent improvements, particularly in the rushing game.

Offensive Analysis: The Owls have improved their ground game, averaging over 130 rushing yards per game in recent matchups.

However, Kennesaw State struggles in the passing game, which has hampered their ability to maintain scoring consistency and capitalize when trailing.

Challenges Against WKU: With a weak passing game, Kennesaw State may struggle to keep up with Western Kentucky, especially if they fall behind early. They’ll likely lean heavily on their running game to control the clock and minimize turnovers.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

The Hilltoppers are positioned as strong 24-point favorites. They’ve had a solid season thus far and come off a crucial win against Sam Houston State.

With an extra week of preparation, Western Kentucky has a favorable setup to deliver a high-scoring game in front of their home fans.

Explosive Offense: Western Kentucky’s offense, averaging nearly 29 points per game and over eight yards per pass, will put pressure on Kennesaw State’s defense. Their passing attack is one of the most efficient in their conference, which makes them difficult for opponents with weak secondary coverage.

Defensive Considerations: Although WKU has struggled somewhat against the pass, Kennesaw State’s lackluster aerial game likely won’t exploit this weakness.

This matchup could see Western Kentucky extend their lead early and focus on controlling the game to avoid any chance of a backdoor cover by Kennesaw State.

Key Factors and Matchup Analysis

Recent Momentum and Focus: After Kennesaw State’s shocking upset, Western Kentucky is unlikely to overlook this matchup. With the national attention on the Owls’ recent success, the Hilltoppers are well-prepared to shut down Kennesaw State and prevent any repeat surprises.

Spread and Point Total: Western Kentucky has a history of covering large spreads this season, notably winning by 27 and 31 points in games where they were similarly favored. Given their home advantage and well-rounded offense, the Hilltoppers are set up to cover the 24-point spread comfortably.

Betting Predictions and Picks

Spread Pick: Western Kentucky -24. With an efficient offense and the Owls’ inconsistent passing game, the Hilltoppers are likely to win by a significant margin.

Total Points: Lean towards the over on point totals if set, as WKU’s offense can capitalize on Kennesaw State’s vulnerabilities, while Kennesaw State may attempt to control the clock and keep the score respectable.

Kennesaw State vs Western Kentucky: Conclusion

Western Kentucky is primed to defend their home turf, and Kennesaw State’s recent upset likely won’t be repeated here.

With WKU’s potent passing offense and Kennesaw State’s limited passing capabilities, Western Kentucky is a strong pick to cover the spread. Bettors should consider Western Kentucky -24 and look for the game to potentially hit the over on total points.

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