Dave Cokin’s NCAAF Week 9 Betting Notes

NCAAF Week 9 Betting Preview

WagerTalk handicapper Dave Cokin offers analysis on games that just missed his NCAAF Week 9 betting card. Each week on Twitter, Dave shares the games that fell just outside his comfort zone. Here, he expands upon those games with reasons why he was drawn in a particular direction, and why ultimately he decided to pass.

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NCAAF Week 9 Betting Leans

Again, just to reiterate: As of Friday afternoon, these are games that I have not bet. I am simply sharing some of my notes that may, perhaps, assist in your handicapping as you break down the NCAAF Week 9 card:

Maryland -5 vs Indiana – The Hoosiers have faced an extraordinarily tough schedule and Indiana appears to be pretty worn down, in addition to having QB injury issues. Maryland started 4-0 but hasn’t won since. The Terrapins are stepping back down in class following the losses to Iowa, Ohio State and Minnesota. Maryland looks like the right side here but the line did rise and I’m not wild about laying points with a team that is -603 net yards the last three games.

Rutgers -1.5 at Illinois – The Illini are fresh off the 9OT shocker at Penn State and could be emotionally spent here. Rutgers is in need of a win to maintain bowl hopes and the Scarlet Knights are off a bye. Scheduling dynamics clearly favor the road team but I wanted +1 in this game. While -1.5 means Rutgers likely covers with a win, I’m just not convinced their offense is trustworthy enough and decided to leave this one in the added opinion column.

Hawaii +5.5 at Utah State – I see Hawaii as the better team and was enthused about grabbing points with their potent rushing attack against a porous Aggies rush defense. But with RB Hunter as well as QB Cordiero both still listed as questionable, the risk factor here becomes tangible. Hawaii is not one of the schools where I have good access to info and the truth is I don’t know if the two key players will be in action.

Wyoming +3 at San Jose State – The Spartans were fortunate to escape Las Vegas with a win last week and I have Wyoming as the slightly better team. But the Cowboys are generating no offense at all and I don’t know that the change at QB will have the desired results. It’s a game I actually expect the visitors to win but how do the Cowboys catch up if they fall behind early?

Colorado State +2.5 vs Boise State – This is a very winnable game for Colorado State. I have the Rams offering value at the current tag. The negatives are the scheduling with Boise off the bye week, and the potential hangover for the Rams after the end-of-game clock management fiasco last week. But if this climbs to Boise -3, I might revisit and move the Rams from lean to play.

Here’s this week’s free college play vid on a pretty good SEC hookup. Everything else I’m presently on is loaded at @WagerTalk https://t.co/crCpGZvtUv pic.twitter.com/wF9zdhCGFq

— Dave Cokin (@davecokin) October 26, 2021

NCAAF Week 9 Injury Notes from The GoldSheet

• Air Force QB Haaziq Daniels left last week’s game vs San Diego State. The Falcons are off this week, but keep an eye on his status next week as Air Force preps for Army.
• Army QB Christian Anderson returned to the field Saturday against Wake Forest after missing the Black Knights’ last two games, but was knocked out against the Demon Deacons with a shoulder or arm injury.
• Central Florida WR Jaylon Robinson is expected to return to practice and play at Temple Saturday.
• Clemson had six receivers on the injured list prior to playing Pitt last Saturday.
• Fresno State RB Ronnie Rivers, the Bulldogs’ leading rusher, suffered a foot injury vs. Nevada and left the game without returning, but has been cleared to practice this week.
• Illinois QB Artur Sitkowski suffered a broken arm against Penn State last week.
• Indiana QBs Jack Tuttle and Michael Penix Jr. are both considered week-to-week with injuries.
• Liberty QB Malik Willis was knocked out of last week’s game against North Texas.
• Notre Dame safety Kyle Hamilton, an Irish captain and All-American candidate, suffered a knee injury last week against USC.
• Pittsburgh lost its leading receiver and top running back to concussions last week against Clemson.
• South Florida QB Timmy McClain injured his ankle against Temple and is questionable to face East Carolina on Thursday.
• Tulane QB Michael Pratt was being evaluated for a concussion late in the SMU game last week.
• Utah LB Devin Lloyd was ejected for targeting against Oregon State and will sit out the first half of the UCLA game this week
• Utah State RB Calvin Tyler broke his hand against Colorado State and will miss a game or two.

College Football Daily

Interesting non-conference game in Provo, Utah this weekend as Bronco Mendenhall makes his return to the visitors’ sidelines as the head coach of Virginia. Join Joe Raineri, Dave Cokin, Steve Merril and Rob Veno for College Football Daily as we preview the marquee NCAAF Week 9 matchups, including Auburn vs Ole Miss; Utah vs UCLA; BYU vs Virginia; and Houston vs SMU.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the NCAAF Week 9 moneylines, point spreads, first half lines and betting percentages from your desktop or phone.

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