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Duke Football Predictions for 2024: Duke Blue Devils Football Total Wins Picks, Best Bets & Games To Watch

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Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky looks at Duke college football and its chances in 2024. Ron provides expert picks for betting on the Blue Devils in 2024.

Ron also offers total win predictions for Duke in 2024 (a great betting NCAAF betting future), areas to watch, favorability of schedule, and offers best bets tips on the Duke Blue Devils.

WagerTalk, the home of expert sports picks and the legendary GoldSheet, offers free college football best bets and free NCAAF picks daily, as well as premium expert NCAAF betting picks at amazing prices. And, don’t forget, at WagerTalk you can always find the NFL best bets today updated constantly.

Grab the GoldSheet 2024-2025 Betting Guide

In a partnership with WagerTalk’s Ralph Michaels, the GoldSheet team has compiled a 60-page college football betting guide to help you prepare for the 2024-25 season.

Available free of charge, this preseason guide features our summer power ratings, projected point spreads and win probabilities for EVERY game of the upcoming season, plus coaching changes, quarterback transfers and much more. 

Duke College Football 2024 Preview: What’s the Situation?

Duke’s hire of Mike Elko was outstanding, but he’s off to Texas A&M.  Wanting to remain relevant, the Blue Devils hired Manny Diaz, fresh off a successful stint at Penn State (defensive coordinator).  Can they keep the momentum going?

2024 Duke NCAAF AREAS TO WATCH:

QB play will be a critical watch this season as highly touted former Texas backup Maalik Murphy is slated to start. 

The run game last year was even better than expected at 5.1 per carry, but despite the slightly easier schedule (Notre Dame is off the docket), I think while still being solid, will come in at 4.55 per carry.  I say this because I’m concerned about the OL, which lost two rare draft picks (for Duke), including 1st round pick Barton. 

There’s two solid RB’s and a WR with NFL talent which keeps them above average.  Manny Diaz knows defense (excellent as Penn St’s DC), but so did Mike Elko. 

The DL comes in lighter this season, and I have the run D regressing a bit.  I’ll watch this early on to see if I’m wrong, but note that their 1st six games represent the softest part of the schedule so be careful in your evaluations.  The secondary looks improved.  Kicking is more than solid (9-11 from 40+ yards). 


Duke Football 2024 Predicted Total Wins Prediction

Last year I said that going 7-5 would be an outstanding achievement. 

Duke went 7-5, and won their bowl game.  A 4-2 start is doable, and could get them to 6-6 and another bowl game. 

Anything less than a 4-2 start could be problematic.  I went UNDER 6 wins, but there is a path to at least 6-6 if the key offensive players stay healthy, plus they get milage out of raw QB Murphy, and the new PK delivers. Let’s see how the coaching transition goes. 

College Football Week 0 Betting Picks & Predictions 2024

2024 College Football Week 0 and 1 Picks, Predictions and Betting Previews

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Duke 2024 football predictions

2024 Duke Football Schedule and Games to Watch

The non-conference slate is embarrassing.  This is 4-0 unless they lose at Northwestern, a team with revenge but a lower starting Power Rating as opposed to Duke (projected). 

The dog is 27-12 ATS in games involving North Carolina.  My pre-game question is this: Which defense is better?  I expect a loss at Georgia Tech.  A win would set this team up in a favorable situation hosting Florida St, at least via the point spread. 

A critical pre-check of mine prior to 10/26 (SMU) is how SMU’s stat sheet is holding up as they move to a clearly tougher conference. 

Games 9-11 are difficult.  They go to Miami (Diaz used to coach there, Miami just played rival FSU), stay on the road to face NC St (bad situation, also 24-3 revenge for NC St) and host Virginia Tech (favorite has dominated).  Duke closes at Wake, which is a game that could go either way. 

Duke 2024 Football Expert HANDICAPPING TIP

Given the VERY soft opening schedule, plus the valuable new coach rush data, I’ll fade them when not a rush pick in ’24. 

My other strategy coming into this season is to look dog 1st in their games and hope the key checks align. 

Grab the GoldSheet 2024-2025 Betting Guide

In a partnership with WagerTalk’s Ralph Michaels, the GoldSheet team has compiled a 60-page college football betting guide to help you prepare for the 2024-25 season.

Available free of charge, this preseason guide features our summer power ratings, projected point spreads and win probabilities for EVERY game of the upcoming season, plus coaching changes, quarterback transfers and much more. 


WagerTalk Live Odds Screen CFB

WagerTalk’s live college football odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all college football games.

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