LSU Football Betting Preview | Projected Point Spreads and Predictions
The 2023 LSU football team had four players selected in the top-50 of the NFL Draft, including last year’s Heisman Trophy winner at quarterback. What have Brian Kelly and Co. done to reload the roster in Baton Rouge? Let’s take a closer look at the Tigers’ schedule and returning production for the 2024 college football season.
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2024 LSU Football Schedule
| Date | Opponent | GoldSheet Line |
| Sept 1 | vs USC (In Las Vegas) | -6 |
| Sept 7 | vs Nicholls State | -42 |
| Sept 14 | at South Carolina | -9 |
| Sept 21 | vs UCLA | -16 |
| Sept 28 | vs South Alabama | -25 |
| Oct 5 | Bye | |
| Oct 12 | vs Ole Miss | -2 |
| Oct 19 | at Arkansas | -13 |
| Oct 26 | at Texas A&M | +2 |
| Nov 2 | Bye | |
| Nov 9 | vs Alabama | +2 |
| Nov 16 | at Florida | -7 |
| Nov 23 | vs Vanderbilt | -32 |
| Nov 30 | vs Oklahoma | -5 |
We project the Tigers to be favored in ten of their 12 games for the upcoming season, but there are certainly a handful of coinflips. LSU does have a pair of well-positioned bye weeks prior to playing Ole Miss in October and Alabama in November.
LSU Football Betting Odds
| National Championship | +1800 |
| SEC Championship | +1000 |
| To Make the CFP | Yes +120 / No -150 |
| Season Win Total | 9 (o -120 / u EV) |
| To Go Undefeated | Yes +850 / No. -1800 |
| Garrett Nussmeier Heisman | +2200 |
Odds above courtesy of DraftKings as of Friday, July 26. Jayden Daniels became the second LSU quarterback in the last five years (Joe Burrow in 2019) to lift the Heisman Trophy. Garrett Nussmeier was fantastic in the Tigers’ bowl win over Wisconsin, going 31-of-45 for 395 yards and three touchdowns. Oddsmakers were certainly paying attention and have opened his Heisman odds at a very modest level for a player who does not carry a lot of on-field experience heading into this season.
DraftKings has released Games of the Year point spreads for six contests involving LSU this season. Generally speaking, our power ratings are in line with almost all of those games, with the exception of LSU’s trip to Arkansas. From a numbers perspective, we show about 3.5 points of value on the Tigers. However, that game comes after LSU hosts Ole Miss the week prior. It appears that oddsmakers have baked in some “letdown factor” into that line against the Razorbacks.
- LSU -2.5 vs Ole Miss
- LSU -9.5 at Arkansas
- LSU +2 at Texas A&M
- LSU -1 vs Alabama
- LSU -5.5 at Florida
- LSU -5 vs Oklahoma
LSU Football Returning Production
LSU is projected to return 12 starters from last year’s 10-3 squad: Six on offense and six on defense. According to ESPN’s Bill Connelly, the Tigers are expected to return 64-percent of their production from last season: 58-percent on offense and 71-percent on defense.
Tigers’ head coach Brian Kelly fired his entire defensive coaching staff from last season, electing to start from scratch this year with a unit comprised of coaches from Texas, Florida and Missouri. LSU will also be welcoming a new offensive coordinator in 2024, but most of the offensive staff was promoted from within.
A handful of Tigers have made offseason headlines for the wrong reasons. Cornerback Javien Toviano was arrested on Sunday, which certainly casts some doubt on his status after playing in every game last season. Running back Trey Holly is unable to re-join the team after his involvement in an offseason shooting.
GoldSheet College Football Preview
The GoldSheet team has assembled a FREE 60-page college football guide to help you get ready for the 2024-25 NCAAF season. Did you enjoy this LSU football preview? We’ve got plenty more where that came from. We break down every schedule from every team with projected point spreads, win probabilities and much more. Stay up-to-date on coaching moves, quarterback transfers and conference re-alignment with this complimentary download.
NCAAF Team Previews
Here are the top-25 (actually, 27) teams in our opening power ratings for the 2024 college football season:
| 1) Georgia | T11) Missouri | T21) Arizona |
| 2) Ohio State | T11) Oklahoma | T21) USC |
| 3) Oregon | T11) Texas A&M | T23) Auburn |
| 4) Alabama | T14) Clemson | T23) Washington |
| 5) Texas | T14) Florida State | T23) Iowa State |
| 6) Penn State | 16) Tennessee | T23) TCU |
| 7) Michigan | 17) Kansas State | T23) Oklahoma State |
| 8) Ole Miss | T18) Louisville | |
| 9) Notre Dame | T18) Utah | |
| 10) LSU | T18) Miami (Fla) |
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the point spreads, moneylines, totals and betting percentages through every week of the college football season. Oh yeah, you can also find free college football picks and predictions!
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