Memphis vs Tulane: Thanksgiving CFB Picks and Predictions Week 14

Thanksgiving night brings an exciting college football showdown as the Memphis Tigers visit the Tulane Green Wave for a critical American Athletic Conference (AAC) matchup.

Both teams boast impressive 9-2 records, but Tulane’s dominance against the spread has made them the favorite. Here’s a comprehensive analysis of the game, including predictions and picks based on current season trends and matchup insights.

Game Details

Date: Thursday, November 28, 2024
Time: 7:30 PM ET / 4:30 PM PT
Broadcast: ESPN
Location: Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, LA

Spread: Tulane -14 | Total: 55.5

Team Overview and Season Performance

Memphis (9-2)

Offensive Style: Memphis relies heavily on its running game, averaging 5 yards per carry. However, their passing attack has been inconsistent, generating only 7.1 yards per attempt, often against weaker opponents.

Defensive Weaknesses: The Tigers have struggled defensively, especially against balanced offenses like Tulane’s. They allow an average of 7.9 yards per pass, making them vulnerable against stronger aerial attacks.

Road Challenges: Memphis has played a weaker schedule compared to Tulane, which has raised concerns about their ability to compete against higher-caliber teams on the road.

Tulane (9-2)

Balanced Offensive Attack: Tulane boasts a well-rounded offense, averaging over 40 points per game and excelling in both the running (5 yards per carry) and passing game (9.2 yards per attempt). They average 6.5 yards per play, showcasing their efficiency.

Elite Defense: Tulane’s defense is among the most underrated nationally, allowing just 5.8 yards per pass while shutting down opponents’ rushing attacks.

The Green Wave hasn’t allowed more than 120 rushing yards in a game since September, including holding Navy’s triple-option offense to 100 rushing yards.

Against the Spread Dominance: Tulane is 9-2 ATS this season, reflecting their ability to exceed expectations in most matchups.

Key Matchup Analysis

Tulane’s Defensive Edge
Tulane’s defense can effectively neutralize Memphis’s rushing game, making the Tigers one-dimensional. Memphis will struggle to rely on its passing attack, particularly against Tulane’s elite pass defense.

Offensive Efficiency
Tulane’s ability to run and throw efficiently gives them a significant advantage. Memphis’s defense will likely struggle to keep the Green Wave from building and extending a lead.

Motivation and Momentum
Tulane’s senior-heavy roster, combined with a meaningful season finale at home, provides additional motivation. The Green Wave aim to cap off their season with a 10th win, showcasing the turnaround from a 2-10 season just a few years ago.

Betting Predictions and Picks

Spread Pick: Tulane -14
Tulane’s balanced offense and defensive superiority make them the clear favorite to cover the two-touchdown spread. If the line moves below 14, it becomes an even stronger bet.

Game Total: Leaning Under
Memphis’s offensive struggles against strong defenses, combined with Tulane’s ability to control the game, could lead to a lower-scoring outcome. Look for the total line closer to game day to confirm this angle.

Conclusion

The Memphis vs Tulane matchup is set to showcase Tulane’s dominance as they look to secure their 10th win of the season.

With a balanced offensive attack and an elite defense, Tulane should cover the -14 spread while keeping Memphis’s offense in check. Thanksgiving night promises a solid betting opportunity and an entertaining AAC showdown.

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