Michigan vs Purdue Big Ten Championship Predictions, Picks and Odds December 3

Michigan vs Purdue Betting Preview

Michigan has one foot in the door of the College Football Playoff. Can the Wolverines cement their top-2 seed with a convincing win over Purdue in Saturday’s Big Ten Championship Game? WagerTalk college football handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on Saturday’s Big Ten Championship game in Indianapolis.

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Michigan vs Purdue Betting Odds

Saturday, December 3	Big Ten Championship Betting Notes
Point Spread:	Michigan Wolverines -16.5 vs Purdue Boilermakers
Total:	o/u 51.5 Points
Location:	Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN
Game Time:	8:00pm ET / 5:00pm PT (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
TV:	FOX

Michigan vs Purdue Betting Analysis

After going down early in last week’s game against Ohio State, Jim Harbaugh’s crew came back to dominate the second half of that game, out-scoring the Buckeyes 28-3 after halftime.

Purdue has quietly put together a very solid season in West Lafayette. The Boilermakers have won seven of their last nine games, and they’ve covered the spread in four of their six games away from home this season.

Michigan holds a sizeable 45-14 series advantage over Purdue with the Boilermakers’ last victory in this series coming via a 38-36 win in Ann Arbor back in 2009.

Boilermakers Tough On Defense

Purdue has given up just 16.3 points per game over its last three starts as the Boilermakers’ defense has continued to impress this season.

Purdue ranks top-25 in the country this year on limiting opponents’ explosive plays. Opponents are only reaching Purdue’s red zone 2.9 times per game, which is tied for 16th-best in the country.

Aidan O’Connell and the Boilermakers’ offense generated a lot of the headlines earlier this season, but it’s been Purdue’s defense that has carried the team over the last month and that unit should provide a stiff test for the Wolverines’ offense.

Bulldozer Ground Game For Wolverines

If you blinked while Michigan was on offense last week, there’s a chance you missed a 70-yard touchdown run. The Wolverines averaged 7.2 yards per carry against the Buckeyes last week. Donovan Edwards closed the fourth quarter with touchdown runs of 75 yards and 85 yards.

That’s been a fairly consistent story for the Wolverines all season as they rank No. 3 in the country in yards per rush attempt and No. 3 in rushing touchdowns.

Michigan vs Purdue Prediction

Purdue’s defense has shown its ability to limit passing attacks this season, and while Michigan may have racked up 45 points in last week’s game against Ohio State, that hasn’t been their usual routine this year as they’ve eclipsed the 40-point mark in just three of their last nine games overall.

Michigan will very likely look to do what they’ve been doing to great success all year, namely trying to run the ball down Purdue’s throat. However, they’ll find a Purdue run defense on Saturday that ranks top-20 in the country in rushing first downs allowed.

The under has cashed in nine of Michigan’s last 13 games and we expect another low-scoring contest here on Saturday also in the Big Ten Championship Game between Purdue and Michigan.

Prediction: Under 51.5 Points Scored

Happy Hour CFB Kickoff Show

Join a panel of WagerTalk college football handicappers for the Happy Hour CFB Kickoff Show as we break down this week’s college football betting slate from a variety of handicapping angles.

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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