Mississippi State Football Predictions for 2024: Mississippi State Bulldogs Football Total Wins Picks, Best Bets & Games To Watch

Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky looks at Mississippi State college football and its chances in 2024. Ron provides expert picks for betting on the Bulldogs in 2024.

Ron also offers total win predictions for Mississippi State in 2024 (a great betting NCAAF betting future), areas to watch, favorability of schedule, and offers best bets tips on the Mississippi State Bulldogs.

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Grab the GoldSheet 2024-2025 Betting Guide

In a partnership with WagerTalk’s Ralph Michaels, the GoldSheet team has compiled a 60-page college football betting guide to help you prepare for the 2024-25 season.

Available free of charge, this preseason guide features our summer power ratings, projected point spreads and win probabilities for EVERY game of the upcoming season, plus coaching changes, quarterback transfers and much more. 

Mississippi State College Football 2024 Preview: What’s the Situation?

I don’t understand it!  Zach Arnett was in a tough spot, replacing Mike Leach.  The AD fired him after just ten games!  Maybe Jeff Lebby is an upgrade (true), but that’s the wrong thing to do. 

The SEC can be brutal at times.
  
  

2024 Mississippi State NCAAF AREAS TO WATCH:

The offense is changing once again.  Lebby is in charge, and he has former Baylor QB Blake Shapen (good stat sheet) to lead the way.  The RB room is unproven but under Lebby’s creativity (Arnett was a good defensive coach), the #’s should be decent. 

One big problem: The OL must be completely rebuilt.  Three transfers (North Texas, LSU, Memphis) are slated to start, but they have only modest past experience.  Defensively, only one of their top seven tacklers will return, and their top two sackers are gone. 

In fact, these two players accounted for 267 tackles.  I see the run D (4.1 a year ago) in grave danger, and the rest of the defense will regress as well, although the 68% pass defense should improve a bit.  Kicking was decent (16-22, 9-10 inside 40).  

Mississippi State Football 2024 Predicted Total Wins Prediction

A ceiling of 4-8, with 3-9 more likely (I went UNDER 4.5 wins).  SADLY, my scheduling grid says 5-7 is possible.  The culprit?  The soft non-conference schedule, typical for the SEC. 

I’m sticking with the under play.  There’s a chance Jeff Lebby becomes a solid Head Coach, but the current roster is not of bowl caliber, and the defensive staff could be overmatched year #1.  Usually, teams replacing an entire OL suffer growing pains.  Let’s see if that’s true.  

Week 0 College Football Predictions & Betting Preview 2024

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2024 Mississippi State Football Schedule and Games to Watch

Games 1-3 are home to Eastern Kentucky (5-6), at ASU and home to Toledo.  All three teams are facing more than the usual roster turnover, but so is Mississippi St, so 2-1 is the ceiling. 

Florida is up next.  My precheck will be to see how that defense is faring, and how the new, offensive-minded staff is faring with a rebuilt OL. 

The next “winnable” game is 10/26 hosting Arkansas.  The Hogs seek revenge for their 7-3 loss a year ago.  Maybe they can catch Missouri in a flat spot.  Mississippi St will be rested, while the Tigers will have just played at South Carolina.  I expect a closing game loss at Mississippi.

Mississippi State 2024 Football Expert HANDICAPPING TIP

 I expect growing pains, and will be in mostly full fade mode all of September.  The only possible pivot right now would be 11/23, covering at home vs. Missouri, IF Mississippi St has been somewhat competitive.  I expect at least 3-5 vs. plays this season.  

Grab the GoldSheet 2024-2025 Betting Guide

In a partnership with WagerTalk’s Ralph Michaels, the GoldSheet team has compiled a 60-page college football betting guide to help you prepare for the 2024-25 season.

Available free of charge, this preseason guide features our summer power ratings, projected point spreads and win probabilities for EVERY game of the upcoming season, plus coaching changes, quarterback transfers and much more. 

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen CFB

WagerTalk’s live college football odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all college football games.

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