Nevada Football Predictions, Betting Tips, Handicapping Fades, More

Nevada Football 2023: What’s Going To Happen?

Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky runs down the Wolfpack’s chances for 2023 and provides expert tips for betting on Nevada football in 2023. Ron looks at areas to watch, favorability of schedule, offers a predicted record for Nevada football in 2023 and offers some handicapping tips for betting on the Wolfpack this season.

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Nevada Football Preview 2023: Nevada Picks for Betting

Nevada had four straight winning seasons before their Head Coach waved goodbye, taking almost half the team’s starters with him.

It seemed like the rest graduated, including their star QB. Five starters returned, and for a variety of reasons this was my largest season win wager (under 5).

Nevada started 2-0, but with a +9 turnover ratio that record was likely not going to hold up. It didn’t, and the Wolf Pack finished 2-10. Now what?

Nevada Football Bottom Line: Record and Total Wins Expected

4-8. This should be higher, but they can’t be trusted at home, and the roster is not all that much improved from the poaching that took place prior to September, ’22.

Kicking helps, but the coaching needs to matter, and the transfer QB needs to outperform expectations.

Nevada Football HANDICAPPING TIP:

Live free or die! That’s what I wrote here as I was all in on the fade a year ago. The UNDERS hit, and I was 6-0 in their games over the season (6-6 ATS previous four years).

I’m not jumping in with a huge power number advantage this time, as everyone knows where Nevada football stands now.

College Football WEEK 1 ULTIMATE Betting Guide Video

Nevada Football Predictions: AREAS TO WATCH

This is a weird statement to start with, but Head Coach Ken Wilson needs to infuse energy into the program. I saw no energy a year ago. The offense averaged 15.5 points in conference play.

Brendon Lewis (Colorado) may win the QB job and might be an upgrade. Their biggest transfer is RB Sean Dollars (Oregon), who never got going with the Ducks.

The OL may improve but the talent on hand is nothing special. It looks like this is all about QB play. Defensive #’s were below par in ’21 and stayed about the same last season.

The top three tacklers are gone but most everyone else returns expect for their top sacker. There are a total of eight transfers coming in from the Pac 12. Their past production (taken as a whole) wasn’t much, however. I like their long time PK.

One more concern: Home attendance is awful, with crowds ranging from 12K to 18K, which equates to half of their capacity. Giving away home field advantage is never a good thing.

Nevada 2023 Predictions, Nevada Schedule:

“Competitive” non-conference games are home to 7-5 Idaho and at Texas State, who is 23-73 the past eight seasons (4-8 best record).

Road games late in the year are at Utah State and at Colorado State. Winnable October/November home games for Nevada Football are vs. UNLV (new staff, decent talent, historically a poor favorite), New Mexico (on a 15-52 roll, very little talent) and Hawaii (clearly in rebuilding mode).

Past Nevada teams would sweep these games, and also win the two earlier non-conference games. They close hosting Wyoming, a team who hasn’t won their final game since ’18.

I won’t be afraid to fade them at home if I don’t see any improvement. I’ll remind myself to fade more than follow this team again in ’23.

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