Ohio vs Toledo: Wednesday CFB Picks and Predictions Week 13

The Ohio Bobcats and Toledo Rockets meet in what could be the defining game of the 2024 Mid-American Conference (MAC) season.

Both teams are in excellent form, but the battle in the trenches may determine the outcome. Here’s a complete analysis with predictions and picks based on their recent performances.

Game Details

Date: Wednesday, November 20, 2024
Time: 7:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM PT
Broadcast: ESPN2
Location: Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH

Spread: Toledo -1.5 | Total: 44.5

Team Overview and Season Performance

Ohio (7-3)

Dominance in the Trenches: Ohio has been one of the MAC’s top rushing teams, averaging over 200 rushing yards per game at 5.2 yards per carry. Their dominance on the ground has been critical to their success this season.

Defensive Strength: The Bobcats’ defense has performed well in MAC play, holding opponents to just 3.1 yards per carry. Their ability to control the line of scrimmage makes them a formidable challenge for Toledo.

Turnover Management: Ohio benefited from a 4-1 turnover edge in their recent 35-10 victory over Eastern Michigan, showcasing their ability to capitalize on opponents’ mistakes.

Toledo (7-3)

Passing Attack: Toledo relies more on their passing game, averaging 7.5 yards per attempt, although this has been against weaker defenses allowing similar yardage. Their rushing game, however, has been underwhelming at just 3.6 yards per carry.

Defensive Vulnerabilities: While Toledo has a respectable pass defense, their struggles against the run could spell trouble against Ohio’s strong rushing attack.

Recent Form: Toledo’s recent 37-10 win over Central Michigan came largely due to a 5-0 turnover edge, which may not be replicable against Ohio’s disciplined offense.

Key Matchup Analysis

Line of Scrimmage Advantage: Ohio’s ability to control the game on the ground could be the deciding factor. They’ve out rushed MAC opponents by a significant margin (216 to 97 yards per game in conference play) and should find success against Toledo’s below-average run defense.

Turnovers and Ball Control: Both teams have benefited from significant turnover margins in recent games. The team that better protects the football and sustains drives will likely come out on top.

Betting Predictions and Picks

Spread Pick: Ohio +1.5
Ohio’s strength in the rushing game and defensive edge give them an advantage, making them a strong pick as underdogs. Consider taking Ohio outright on the moneyline (+105) for better value.

Total Points: Under 44.5
With both teams boasting solid defenses and an emphasis on ball control, this game is likely to stay under the total. Expect a methodical, lower-scoring contest.

Conclusion

The Ohio vs Toledo game promises to be a thrilling battle for MAC supremacy. Ohio’s ground game and defensive dominance give them the edge, making them a solid underdog pick.

Bettors should also consider the under for total points as both teams look to control the tempo and minimize mistakes. Watch for Ohio to make a statement on the road in this pivotal matchup.

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